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Showing content with the highest reputation on 08/12/2019 in all areas
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3 pointsMonday 8/12/2019 I had a well-being score of 7/10 this morning. My nerves were good. I took 2 live trades with AAPL and a few SIM trades. I did not have AMD on my primary focus charts this morning because of its poor performance last week at the open. So of course it had a great open run. But that is OK it gave me a chance to trade ROKU at least in SIM. AAPL also looked OK and was my primary focus. AAPL opened a little choppy but was making a nice reverse hammer about 15 seconds after the open with a good R/R. I took the trade and got a really bad fill. This happens so close to the open. The R/R is now poor and I need to get out of the trade. But I really have issues bailing on trades when I get bad fills. This is something I need to work on. Even though the reverse hammer looks even better after my bad fill, my target of 199.21 is actually closer than my stop (50MA-1min). But it’s OK the market is really good about trying to teach me lessons and very quickly the price reversed. I even got a bad fill on my stop as well. The chart when I took the trade. Sadly I tried to enter the trade at 199.60. The entire trade: AAPL quickly turned around and looked strong. It reached the 200 level and found resistance. Then made a pull back to the 199.80 level which was respected in the premaket and I went long. I got another bad fill and entered the trade at my planned first partial profit location. But R/R was still OK. My target was the PDC with 50MA-1min as my stop. I took two partials, one at 200.50 (another bad fill) and the other at 200.75 daily level. Both partials were small since I was hoping for a red to green so I was saving my shares. It didn’t happen and I tried to exit at B/E, but just like my other exit and two entrances there was slippage. What the chart looked like when I entered the trade: The entire trade (there is a 3rd trade that I took SIM - S/O) I then took 5 SIM trades and was stopped out on 3 of them. But, I did learn quite a bit today from the SIM trades. Score Card (live trade) AAPL AAPL 78% 89% What I did good today: Learned quite a bit from my SIM trades. What I am grateful from today? That my nerves were OK today. They are usually worse on Mondays. What do I need to improve on: Exiting immediately on the bad fill.
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3 pointsMonday August 12th, 2019 Sleep: 7 hours. Mood: good, ready to trade. first trade was a 2min ABCD in FTCH. didn't take it the first one for the ORB because i didn't like the spread. then i didn't take the second one out of fear, finally took it on a pullback with a new 2min high hammer. great entry. it went up close to the HOTD but couldn't punch through and i got stopped out. GOOD: entry, R/R, exit at stop RFI: felt the trade wasn't going to have the volume and momentum to follow though on the move. gut was right. MOOD: fine, glad i got out at my stop CONSISTENT: yes, exactly to plan i noticed in my July trade review session that if i get stopped out. I pretty much always stop out on the next trade so I was thinking about only taking 1 trade a day to combat this. i decided though that i can't just take a 1R loss and be done with my day every time i stop out on my first trade so i took another trade in FTCH. it looked like it found a bottom and came up above VWAP and was holding the MAs on the 2min chart. i waited for an entry right on the MAs. nailed the entry, it just couldn't get the momentum to make a new highs and once it made a new 5min low, it dumped. i blame myself for not getting out on that new 5min low. i half figured that it might do a fake out and head higher but i should have been watching, instead i chose to shut the window and use the bathroom. got stopped out at my original 1R loss. GOOD: entry, stop loss level, setup RFI: should have got out earlier. MOOD: disappointed to start the week down -2R CONSISTENT: could have bailed earlier but i stuck to my plan. took a reverse ABCD in AMD on SIM that worked perfectly. should have just waited for that setup. didn't take it live because i'm at my max daily loss and it would just stop me out the moment i get in. What i did good today: did a great job with my entries and exits today. What i did bad today: traded FTCH which didn't have the volume to follow through on moves. What can i do better tomorrow: stop revenge trading the same stock i get stopped out in.
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2 points12.Aug.19. Green day. 1.5r. Decent trading day, esp on a Monday. Watchlist: $MU, $ROKU, $GGAL, $AMD and $RKDA (LF/LP). I didn't trade till 9.45AM, as I couldn't find any pattern. Trade 1: $TS was setting up for 9/20 MA cross above 50MA, I took Long small share size got out for a small profit. Trade 2&3: $MU. Took break of the wedge setup. This is not my A+ setup, so again took half sharesize. Got stopped out, flipped my position and got out for BE. Price couldn't break 50MA on 5min. BE. Trade 4: $GGAL. One more Wedge setup, again half the share size. Stock stopped me out, and went in my direction. Slippage was very bad 10c. -1.5r. Trade 5: $AMRN. My best trade of the day. Took a reversal, after price appeared to be bottoming out and forming double bottom. I preempted the setup a bit on 15min for the price to break the previous candle. Targeted 2r and Got 2r. I should have gone with Double share size (to the risk R). +2r Good: Decent trading day. Improvement: Good trading day, if only I could get rid of that slippage, but it happens. Also, remember to increase the sharesize, when my A+ setup appars ($AMRN).
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2 points8-12-19 5 hrs sleep and rested well. Up at 7:30 SSS and Bucci Pay Attention To: Trading into Resistance .......... Taking proper share sizes......... No Trading in the first 5.............. stick to stocks 15.00 - 90.00......... My Sticky Note (Spreads, R/R, Pattern, LVL2) Here early after two very bad trades....... Will wait for the right set up and use smaller share sizes as I am near my max loss for the day after these two..... In total this is a Blowup Day, just glad Im in SIM for at least another 2 months .......... +MU got Stopped out below VWAP.... Had bad entry and rushed into it reading chat for ABCD........ (41.00) -AMD ORB Engulfing crack...... not only got a very bad entry but also took a strong stock and tried to short it..... I did not even notice the 200MA I was trading into......... (80.00) Traded two more + GGAL this should have been a looser as I did not respect my stop............. +58.00 .............. and +NUGT ABCD again I did not respect my stop below 20MA but once it came back close I got out (I also was frustrated and stopped watching it for about 3 min.) .......... (70.00) I will go pack up orders for the day and come back fresh I hope........ Came back and still couldn't find what I was looking for ..... So I just started playing around with some other stuff and coming back and forth to the chat.... Ended up taking -AMD for two trades... First one I seen a 90k BID on LVL2 so I jumped in for a scalp then reentered later with an add on on a pull back for some nice profit. My R/R was 5r or more and I am still in some till I have to head to work in a bit.... Profit thus far ..... +243.97 total after I go stopped out +289.19 CONS: Adjusted share size too much and was now taking too much......... I felt very scattered when market opened and I should have just walked away......... GGAL and NUGT were more revenge trades than anything else....... I did NOT respect my stop losses on GGAL and NUGT....... I did trade into a 200MA that I did not notice till now........ PROS: Even though GGAL and NUGT were revenge and I did not respect my stop loss I did go by the LVL2 and it did move in the direction that was predicted NOTE TO SELF: Follow Sticky Note...... readjust my share sizes for max loss of 50.00........ Call it a day when I've made bad trades and I know I am not thinking clearly....... Look out for strong MAs.... Need to get back to my basics and stop trying to rush / mirror trade..... Take my patterns and do my normal partials and honer mt stops.... I am starting to feel Like my trading is better late morning early afternoon..... P&L Target 50.00: +156.19
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2 pointsI have noticed that but the 1R out helps with my emotions. I am now tracking, the difference between taking the 1R and not taking the 1R out before the 2R level. This may help with my emotions as well.
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1 pointHi all, Stock: CRWD Today it broke above $95 and it's holding at previous resistance (now I suspect as support) just below $95 at $94.90 where it closed the day. It's a little extended from the rising 5-day SMA, but it's holding above the intermediate term (using 30-min chart here) SMA. During the market (market = SPX) sell off days between 8/1 and 8/7, it held up fairly well and tested and held $82.50. Since then it has continued to trend indifferent to the market. A few considerations for future price action: 1. Consolidate around $95 before breaking higher. 2. Pull back and test $88.5 - $92.50 level before breaking higher 3. Drop and retest $82.50 if the market has another steep sell off. Considering this stock has a unique niche in the cloud cyber security space, i suspect this may be a strong stock for a swing trade depending on how the market behaves as it has shown sensitivity to the market evident in the both 30-min charts for the past 30 days. Trading plan for CRWD: Currently in a position near the week low as I saw it was holding $82.50 as support and with the market making a clean "double bottom" pattern, it made a strong reversal. I plan to see what Monday brings to see what it does. Depending on what happens... 1. If the market doesn't have news that brings it down and it moves near the $2,940 - $2,950 level and CRWD is breaking above $97.50, take a 1/3 off and wait for a test to $94.90 to possibly add back to the position depending on price action and market activity. 2. If the market does have news that brings it down and moves back to $2,900 and CRWD trades with market or continues to consolidate around $95, take a 1/3 off and wait to see if it drops and retests $88.50 - $92.50. I'll re-evaluate from there. Always a good thing when using the houses money to finance another A+ trade. Charts for reference: Stock: FB On the daily chart, it's making higher low's and higher high's since Dec 2018. On the 30-min chart, the 5-day SMA (yellow) is almost flattened out and the stock is now above. This seems like a possible long swing trade that is manageable with Options. It may have a pull back to $185 which is where it makes the most sense to take an entry with a favorable risk:reward ratio/setup. Trade plan Long: Wait for pull back to $185 and then put on a synthetic long of 2 contracts to play it for a push back to $200 with a 45-day expiration. If it drops to $181, take 1/2 off. If it moves up to $200, take 1/2 off and re-evaluate. Stock: NFLX On the daily chart, it seems to be holding the $300 level. The drop out candle at $300 seems isolated and the support level is around $307. This is not the best setup since it can go either direction, but the buyers seem somewhat keen to hold it up. The stock is above the 5-day SMA, but it's still declining and on the 30-min it's still making lower highs and lower lows. The recent market sell off seems to be contributing to the current price action. Trading plan Long: If the stock can break above $317, it seems that it would make a move back up to $330 and possibly $350. I would put on a regular slightly OTM bull call spread with a 45-day expiration. Trading plan Short: If the stock breaks $300 again, i would put on a slightly OTM bear put spread with a 14-day expiration and would cover fairly quickly since it'll likely have $5-15 move. Stock: SQ Square had surprise earnings beat, but suffered a large down move because of the market. It's in a oversold condition that if the market recovers and continues to move up, has a great risk:reward setup. Even with the large down move, it still is consolidating at a price that makes it a higher low on the daily chart. the 5-day SMA is in decline and the stock is trading around it, but since it moved so strongly with the market, it's showing similar characteristics. If the market makes a move, SQ will likely make a similar move. Trading plan Long: Currently in a synthetic long spread at $64.65 with a Stop set at $64.10. Plan to take partials at $68, $70, and all out at $75. May add back to position with Options or just common stock depending on price action testing previous resistance levels that recently became support and play for a swing move back to $80 depending on how market trades. Lot's of info here, but if you can provide any feedback Brian, that would be appreciated. I am particularly interested in your thoughts on FB and SQ. I also welcome feedback from anyone in the community. NOTE: Synthetic spreads are ADVANCED option strategies. If you are a newbie, I don't recommend them. Better to go for cheaper OTM calls or put spreads that meet your risk tolerance. Hope all is well -Cad
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1 pointLive trading summary for week ending 8/09/19. Another unusual week. Not the best trading with a score card of 83%. I took 9 live trades this week. I took two trades that I am really not happy with. I had a win% of 22% so the -3R for the week actually doesn’t look so bad. Monday started the week oddly, where I was splitting my focus on both AAPL and AMD at the same time. Either would had been a good trade, but since I tried focusing on both I ruined both trades. I got out of AMD early because I saw a great setup on AAPL. But if I waited 1 more sec (or one more penny) AMD would have been a great trade. But I got out early to jump to AAPL but I was late and chased it and missed a 50 cent move. Thus I got stopped out on both. So after Monday I was trying to focus on only one stock at the open (AAPL). Only when I saw no setup forming I looked at AMD. That worked out OK. Then Wednesday I tried changing my partial profit taking and really hold to at least 1R for the first partial. Well this caused two stop outs. The first trade hit the first tech level, though under 1R and I didn’t take my usual partial and got stopped out. The second trade I held to my 1R and DAS froze when I tried to take a partial. When I got control back the price already reversed and I was stopped out. So I won’t try changing my 1st partial anytime soon again. Back test data shows AAPL still in play at the open. Though AMD made it to my top two watchlist last week, it actually ended up not in play at the open last week. MU and FB are still marginal at the open. TSLA is iffy but a possibility and I don’t have shares to short for ROKU. I looked at several other stocks and I don’t have anything set as my secondary focus at the open. Here is my plan for this week: Concentrate on process and score card, not on W% and P/L AAPL is still in play at the open. Make it the primary focus. Both MU and FB are marginal. AMD was not in play last week. Do not trade at the open until better data. Keep $30 risk per trade. If you can find a stock on the gappers list that you like then make it your secondary focus. If not choose TSLA or ROKU. Use small share size or even SIM when trading them until you better understand the personalities. Keep trading 5/10/15 min on SIM Don’t add to any trade, even winners. Continue with the Van Tharp’s Peak Performance Course for Traders.
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1 pointWeek 32 Recap Ok week for me. Two live trades both winners. I regret not taking a couple other trades I was on Tuesday and Wednesday. Friday, I saw a trade in the afternoon that I almost took live but didn’t because I don’t trade in the afternoon but it ended up being a great trade. · Weekly stats o 2.9 planned R/R (Goal: above 3.0) [Previous Week: 2.5] o 8/8 100% (Goal: above 80%) [Previous Week: 94%] o $41.50 (Goal: $150) [Previous Week: -$73.67] o 2/2 100% trades with the trend (Goal: 100%) [Previous Week: 33%] o ½ 50% Non-optimal Entries (Goal: 0%) [Previous Week: 42%] o 0/2 0% Letting Losers Run (Goal: 0%) [Previous Week: 0%] o 0/2 0% No Setup (Goal: 0%) [Previous Week: 17%] o 2/2 100% true win percentage (Goal 45%) [Previous Week: 33%] · Highlights o All green trades this week o Great handle on emotions o Taking 1 live trade a day seems to be the right thing to do. · Ongoing things to work on o Have to take that 1 trade everyday o Try next week to take 1 live trade every day. o I’d like to work on my ORB setup in sim next week o Keep working on sticking to 3R range orders.