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Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/11/2019 in all areas

  1. 2 points
    11.Nov.19 +2.5r. Didn't complete my premarket routine. Had only 4 hrs sleep last night. So din't trade the open or prenoon today. Took one trade on $AMD at noon. Trade 1: $AMD. $AMD was bullish and trending up although gapped down at the open. $36.2 was a key level which acted as both resistence (multiple times) and support. I took it long after the bounce off this level. Took partials at daily levels. Final partial at 36.55, after lot of L2 actions at 36.5 level. Skipped rest of the session. Good: Traded $AMD only after completing my premarket routine (that I have implemented to bring more discipline into my trading) Overall, happy with my trading today.
  2. 2 points
    Monday 11/11/2019 I had a well-being score of 7.5/10 this morning. First day back live after my rule breaking day last Monday. I took 1 live trade this morning with BABA. My watchlist today was: AAPL, BABA, MU, ROKU, WBA and TSLA BABA gapped down and I was short biased. I had BABA on my main screen at the open. After the open I waited for the big print. On most days BABA has a really big print on T/S. It is not like AAPL where it is a small part of its volume and occurs right at the open. For BABA it tends to be at least 20 seconds from the open. I do not know if this is a live trade or a print from PM or yesterday that is reported now. But it gives some nice info. Usually the print itself gives no direction. Even if it is at the Bid or Ask it still gives no direction. What I have noticed, is if it is big enough (>150k) it means the stock may move at the open. Usually the next prints is what hint at the direction. After a big print you almost instantly get some smaller (but still sizeable prints). The secondary prints is what I see giving hints of the direction. Usually you have a signal from them or no secondary prints and no signal. Today was unusual is we got a lot of prints but they were conflicting. First a really big print, so good we may move today. Then you see three bullish prints, then three bearish prints with the last one selling below the bid which is really uncommon. So this left me without a signal. So I waited. The price was dropping and at 40 seconds after the open I got my signal. Four large bearish prints, a L2 signal and all of T/S went red. This occurred the same time as the price just broke through its daily level at 184.24. So I went short with half shares. Yikes! I instantly lost over 50 cents on the fill. At least I was half shares so I wasn’t too stressed. The price retraced and I took the rest of my shares short as a standard 1min ORB as the price dropped below $184 with 5 more large bearish prints. My stop was the 184.36 PM level and I really didn’t have a good target. The next level was too far at 180.41, so I used 182 as my target. It felt like I partialed too much but I caught a 5R move and I made 2.7R. If I make at least half of the move that is good for me. I exited the trade when it made two HH/HLs on the 1min chart. Of course the price then reversed at went lower 🙂 I first felt good about my one and done trade then I took 4 SIM trades and got stopped out on each one 😕 Score card (live trade). BABA 88% What I did good today: I focused on reading the tape. What I am grateful from today? I am grateful for having a good day back live. What do I need to improve on: I need to still work on those trades >15min from open.
  3. 1 point
    I just finished listening to the NIKE podcast that Andrew recommended. They didn’t really mention too many steps on how to improve one’s sleep. I just went through a very successful sleep improvement program, so I thought I would list what worked for me. I will quickly mention where I am coming from. My daughter had serious sleep issues for her first few years. This forced me to get ~3-4 hours of sleep a night (not in a row) for a couple of years. I survived it but it left me sleeping like a cat and would wake up continuously all night long. Compounded was family/work limits my sleep to ~5.5-6 hours a night. I live in California so I wake up at 4:45am to get ready for the day and prepare for the market open. So I really need a good night sleep. In this list I won’t mention the obvious (caffeine, consistent sleep time, alcohol, stress, temperature). I also won’t mention the more holistic (grounding, meditation, message). I am listing in the order of impact it had to improving my sleep. 1) Where orange glasses when looking at a screen at night. Yes, it’s easy to say to reduce screen time at night, but realistically none of us can do that. I tried the blue light reduction app, but it didn’t make much difference. I bought $10 blue block glasses from Amazon and it made a world of difference. Actually I just continuously where them after the sun goes down to reduce all blue light exposure. I tried the more expensive ones (Swannies) but they break easy. 2) Where clear sunglasses when driving to work in the morning. I was brought up that you should where the darkest brown sunglasses whenever your outside. That’s obviously wrong. There is time for sunglasses and a time not to have them. This is a great way to get you Circadian cycle started on time. Again $10 Amazon for UV protective but clear sunglasses. I use them for my morning drive. Actually not only did it help my sleep, but really helps you wake up in the morning. Don’t worry you stop squinting in a few weeks. 3) Read this book: Sleep Smarter by Shawn Stevenson. I have read a lot of books on sleep. This is by far the best. All but three of these tips that I am listing here are in his book. If you want a free Audiobook copy, send me your email. You are allowed to send a free audio book to anyone once from Amazon Audible. 4) Use a sleep tracking watch. By chance I bought a Garmin for running that happens to have a sleep tracker app. It made a huge difference. Most of these steps I took I could not feel the difference, but my watch would detect that it did. So I try a new habit each week and see if my watch detects anything. Once you add a few of these new habits together you then feel the difference. 5) Darken your bedroom. My daughter had poor night vision. So our house was filled with light at night. After reading the impact of nightlights on children’s vision I changed that. The house is dark now with blackout curtains. 6) Don’t take multi vitamins before bed. For decades that was exactly what I was doing. That was my normal regime. Take a vitamin and head to sleep. I was reading a book on genes and it just happen to mention, “and of course don’t take B vitamins near your bedtime since they are a stimulant.” I was totally shocked by this and stopped immediately. That really helped my sleep. 7) Walk don’t run. I love running, but I am also fond of walks and hiking. A recent study determined that walking induces better quality sleep than more vigorous exercise. So I now always walk at lunch and sometimes give up my evening run for a walk if I can convince a family member to come along (it’s usually my son). Hopefully you found this useful.
  4. 1 point
    I have a hotkey setup that's extremely simple. I have used this simple hotkey to scalp stocks between the price range of 30 to 80 dollars. It's so simple that you may even laugh at it. The probability of a stock price moving 20 cents after an engulfing pattern or anticipation ABCD pattern is quite high. However, this strategy does go against the risk reward ratio. Due to its high probability nature, the small wins will out number the occasional lost. This strategy is called scalping, so please take care when using it. When the market is choppy at the open but strong such as today, I deploy this strategy to get several small gains. First right click on the title of your Montage to open the Frame Window Configure popup. Give your window the name MONTAGE. Next assign a BUY and SELL hotkey for the commands below. (Note: Change your share size to something other than 500). FocusWindow MONTAGE;Route=SMRTL;Price=Last+0.2;Price=Round2;Share=500;Sell=Send FocusWindow MONTAGE;Route=SMRTL;Price=Last-0.2;Price=Round2;Share=500;Buy=Send Scalping requires fast execution so the FocusWindow command is crucial because it immediately puts your Montage into focus. With newer versions of DAS (5.4.3), this hotkey behaves slightly different. If your Montage is not already in focus, pressing this hotkey will only put it into focus, and pressing it again will execute the order. If you still running an older version of DAS such as 5.2.021, this hotkey will put the Montage window into focus and also execute the order. Just be careful if you have different versions of DAS installed on a laptop and desktop. The way this strategy works is to enter on an opening range breakout, engulfing pattern or anticipation ABCD pattern, then immediately place a Buy/Sell order 20 cents ahead of the price. Then find another stock that's producing a similar pattern and repeat the process. Number is the game. Rules: 1. Only scalp long when the price is above all the moving averages 2. Only scalp short when the price is below all the moving averages 3. Scalp long when the SPY is up more than 0.3% (Optional) 4. Scalp short when the SPY is down more than -0.3% (Optional) 5. Only trade with small share size. Try to convert the setup into an anticipation ABCD Pattern. 6. Set stop to 30 cents or low/high of the opening range on large gaps. 7. Set stop to 30 cents or below/above all the moving averages on small gaps. 8. Price range must be between 30 to 60 dollars average Study Case 1: WDC scalp with a 1 to 1 risk reward ratio. Study Case 2: C scalp trade with a 1 to 1 risk reward ratio Study Case 3. SQ scalp failed. Waited to add on an ABCD anticipation. Scalp 20 cents on the add, and got the 20 cents after new highs. Risk reward skewed in favor of high probability setup. Study Case 4: TWTR scalp 20 cents. Risk reward skewed in favor of high probability setup. Study Case 5: MU scalp failed. Added on engulfing for scalp failed. Anticipation ABCD. Tried adding on engulfing at 49.50. No BP. First scalp hit, sold after low of green candle. Risk reward skewed in favor of high probability setup. Study Case 6: GILD First scalp attempt failed (forgot to place order due to trading too many stocks at the same time). Added on engulfing. Second scalp got hit, and I sold rest after candle didn't hold. Risk reward skewed in favor of high probability setup. Study Case 7: JD First scalp failed. Added on engulfing. First trade hit 20 cents, and second trade stop out after green candle failed to continue. Study Case 8: (Oh boy) AMD. First trade scalp failed. (I made an error by adding too early). So I waited for the anticipation ABCD pattern and added, it failed. I tried adding again, failed. Stopped out after 30 cents. Then 1 hour later... (*face palm*) Red to Green....Setting my stop below all the moving averages would had saved this trade. Results: I made a total of 14 trades. Out of the 14 trades, I lost four of them. The AMD lost took away profits made from JD and SQ, if added together. However, C, GILD, MU, TWTR and WDC were all net profit. Disclaimer, I trade AMD, JD, SQ, C, GILD, MU, TWTR and WDC almost everyday using my own money. For me, I found that trading the same stocks everyday gives me an edge. With that said, my win rate with these stocks are on the higher side. Also, trading 8 stocks at the same time can go wrong very fast, so I do not recommend it. This strategy is not for everyone because anticipation ABCD Pattern strategy requires adding size to a position with a negative P&L. To learn more about this strategy, I wrote a post about it.
  5. 1 point
    November 11, 2019 - $AMD and $IQ So the results of the Me vs. The Market after entering a trade are, "Market 2 Me 0." I say that because the market got the better of me today. I had two good setups on $JD and $AMD. I took an entry on $JD, got the move in my direction but not quite out to my 1R level. The stock pulled back and I eventually got out at a break above the high of the pre-market, although this was about 4 cents below my stop out level. after exiting the stock went back in my direction eventually hitting my 1R level and 2R. If I had stuck with my plan, would have be a +1.5R instead a -.63R. Then there was $AMD. I hesitated a little on the entry costing me about 2 cents on my entry, no big right. Well as you will see it was the difference between stopping out at break even and getting a 3R winner. I got the initial move to my 1R and covered. I then put in a range order for 75% out at 2R to let the last little bit ride to the PCL. Eventually the stock pop hard back to my break even and just as it was about to hit I realized I did not have a stop out that had my position. My range order filled stopping me out of 75% of my position and I quickly covered the rest with the hotkey. Of course, it came right to my break even point and reversed back in my direction. Had I not hesitated on the entry I would not have gotten stopped out and would have hit my profit target. Tough day today, but I walked walked away with a small loss after commissions and fees. I executed poorly causing me to leave money on the table. Better luck tomorrow. I plan on posting my yearly re-cap later tonight. I just need to finish the last few portions up. Sample Set Results, S P G E E P P P P G G P P P G P S P E P
  6. 1 point
    08.Nov.19 Green day. +1r. I had 2 good setups, both after taking partials stopped me out. Could have been... Watchlist: $DIS, $TDC, $WKHS, $BIDU, $QCOM. Trade1: $ROKU. 3Bar play setup on 2min. After partial at daily level, didn't have the juice to popup higher, got the last partial out at BE. Trade2: $DIS. $DIS had strong earnings. I was long biased. Once $DIS formed double bottom, took it long. one partial out at 50MA(1min) then got stopped out at BE. $DIS had been bearish thru the day, so my trade ended up as Fading trade. Trade 3: $BIDU. Failed MA bounce, 50MA on 1min. Good: Two good setup, but both didn't work out for full r. Improvement: I am not using Kyle's hotkey always, sometimes I endup with less shares when I hardcode in the #of shares (like $DIS), so ended up the risk of 0.5r only. Also MA bounce setup isn't working out recently, most cases failed, need to optimize this or skip it for sometime. Overall happy about the trading today, although the daily goal doesn't reflect that.
  7. 1 point
    Good Job..... I like your thought process.... Happy Green Day.....
  8. 1 point
    My risk management plan is pretty similar too. Keeping the risk as a % of Capital is a good method. When the capital grows, the risk automatically increases (without the need to change 1%).
  9. 1 point
    What a great meetup! I had tons of fun meeting everyone Let's start a BBT SF Chapter and meet every month or so?! .:Manuel
  10. 1 point
    Thanks Mike..... This will be my new guide as this is the size of account I started CMEG with..... I do feel like if I can not make money with a 5K account then I can not do it with a larger account.... I was risking $50 with a $150 goal in SIM and it was going well, once I switched to Live and lowered my risk to $10 I was not treating it as serious as I was in the SIM account. I am not sure but I believe if I set my Kyles Hot Button for $17 with a promise to myself that if I can run a full week with my weekly goal hit I will increase slightly till I am at $50 risk then maybe this will force me to trade safely......
  11. 1 point
    If you don't have a trading plan currently, I would suggest giving this strategy a try. The odds of profiting on a 3R, 2R or 1R trade can be less than 50%, if entering on an open range. If you are trading stocks in play, this statistic may not apply. When trading pull backs, your chances of profiting on trades with 1R or greater increases a lot. If you're starting and struggling with achieving 2R with every trade, you could be chasing your tail. I would suggest going for high probable trades with smaller wins first. Before trying to achieve 2R trades. Set your target at 20 or 10 cents and place your target before hand. Adding liquidity to the market also increases your odds of getting filled. Trading this strategy in a simulator may be challenging because unlike live orders your broker can't fill you pennies or a spread away from your target. It's almost like magic. This is why you should never use hard stops. Note: Putting your target at or below 10 cents gets tricky because the commission, BID/ASK spread and limit order spread will eat away at your profits. Anyways, if going long, I would suggest buying at the ASK price plus 2 cents (short is BID - 0.02) and send orders through different routes. For example, when going long with 1000 shares, I use IEXL, AMEXL, EDGXL, ARCAL and SMRTL. Smart routing does this already but the goal is to take advantage of Level II through arbitrage. I found EDGX, BYX and NSX trades slightly behind the market price which can result into better prices. NSX doesn't work for me. The major downside with this hot key are the fees and commission. When exiting, use a basic limit order and the SMRT route. Price=Ask+0.02;Share=200;ROUTE=IEXL;BUY=Send;ROUTE=AMEXL;BUY=Send;ROUTE=EDGXL;BUY=Send;ROUTE=ARCAL;BUY=Send;ROUTE=SMRTL;BUY=Send 1) Open Range Breakout: When trading an opening range breakout, set your target at 20 cents (or 10 cents for amazing higher odds). By reducing your target distance, you odds dramatically increases. After a 2 or 5 minutes ORB, enter the trade with your smaller share size per trade, and immediately put a limit order 20 cents ahead of the price. There are two scenarios, the price immediately hits your target or the price starting to pull back. If the your target is hit immediately, wait to enter a new trade on a flag. For example, my trade with GILD. I entered on a 5 minutes ORB and 5 minutes later my 20 cents target was hit. I waited for another flag, and I entered a new trade with a 20 cents target. I continued the process until the low/high of the previous candle breaks. For example, on my third trade, I entered on a flag but the low of the candle stopped me out. If I've never stopped out, I would have profitable another 20 cents or profited after a candle break. The downside to this strategy is shown in the trade I've made today in SQ. I entered on a 2 minutes ORB and my target was immediately, but the price just kept dropping. With this trade, I completely missed a very profitable short opportunity. 2) When trading pullbacks, trying entering the trade near a moving average: 9ma, 20ma, 50ma or 200ma. As a result, the odds of the trade working increases in your favor. For example, I made a trade on C with a late entry today near the 20ma after a strong reversal pattern. The stock popped up and missed my target by a penny. I killed the trade after seeing the low of the red candle have broken before. The odds of a continuation increases when a pull back rebounds off a moving average, so I was able to get a second trade on a flag into new highs. 3) ORB + Pullback = Anticipation ABCD. This was not a pretty trade because the drop caught me off guard. I entered on an ORB, added on the tail twice near the 20ma and added again twice on a 5 ORB. The price popped up and hit my three targets. I exited the trade early to regain BP. 4) When to stop out. Set stop to 30 cents or low/high of the opening range on large gaps. Set stop to 30 cents or below/above all the moving averages on small gaps. WDC was a trade I made today which I broke even. My stop was under the moving average. I went long, the price dropped under the moving average. I took the lost. After the following candle closed, I made a new trade short with double size. After the first target hit, I rode the price down until I hit close to breakeven. If the stock at any time produces a flag, reversal and engulfing signal in the opposite direction twice, stop out. For example, MU today. I went short on a 2 minutes ORB. Then, it produced a bullish tail and bullish engulfing pattern. Strike 1. I added on the bearish reversal. Next, it produced another bullish engulfing pattern. Strike 2. That's when I killed the trade. Conclusion: Congratulations! I just gave you my complete trading plan for trading the first hour. Without showing you hours of my trading tapes, posting hundreds of charts or boring you with math of backtesting with excel and python, all you have to do is practice. What's hidden in plain view are only trading setups with very high odds, scaling into high odd setups and stopping out during high odd events. You will definitely increase your chances of becoming profitable. More suggests: 1) Opening Range breakout has lower odds of reaching 1R or greater. Try setting your target at 10 cents. When your target is reached, remove half your position. After 10 cents is hit, let the rest or until breakeven. 2) ABCD Pattern has higher odds of reaching 1R or greater. Set your target at 20 cents. When target is hit, take half position and let the rest ride or breakeven. 3) Opening range breakout, engulfing and reversal pattern near moving averages has the highest odds. The larger the moving average, the higher the odds of achieving greater than 1R. The 200ma has the highest . While the 9ma has the lowest odd. 4) Stop place near moving averages decrease the odds of a fake out. Smaller moving averages have less margin of error for the reversal signal. Larger moving averages have larger margin of error for the reversal signal. If the 9ma breaks, or the price starts crossing over this moving average, the trend is more likely to reverse immediately near the ma price. If the 200ma breaks, or the price starts crossing over this moving average, the trend is less likely to reverse near the ma price. At times, a reversal signal can be delayed by occurring above or below the 200 ma. Disclosure: My other trades from today. AMD breakeven. TWTR breakeven. Disclaimer, I trade AMD, JD, SQ, C, GILD, MU, TWTR and WDC almost everyday using my own money. Also, I can not guarantee you will become profitable using this trading plan. I'm in the Bear Bull Trading chatroom sometimes, but I mostly trade independently. I found a niche style of trading that's working for me. I do trade with Pre-market data, Volume, VWAP, 9ma and 50ma on other charts. On my main chart, I removed all indicators that I found distracting.
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