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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/09/2019 in Posts
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2 pointsDAS Trader - BT Summary I was part of the DAS trader - BT which lasted for the entire month of June. I think this helped me immensely as it provided a Psudo Live environment for me to try out all my Rules and Strategies and managing nerves when going fullsize. I started with small sharesize during the first week and slowly ramped it up. It is not Real, nevertheless better than trading in SIM. In this summary, I want to capture the setups that worked for me, Rules, any lessons learnt and finally share anything useful with other members. A. Setups: I am time constrained during the day, so I had to adjust my style of trading so that it I can trade between 9.30-10AM EST. I am happy that I never scalped 1-2c going big share size to increase profit throughout this month. I was careful of not falling into this trap, I managed to stay away from it and traded mostly setups if not all the time. Following is my analysis of the setups I took during BT trading, some of these setups are not unique and overlap with each other. For e.g, Pullback ORB (1-2-3 candles) setup may occur on a Harmonious setup. Or Bullflag pattern may coincide with the ABCD setup. A reversal may occur on a Double bottom that coincides with a bounce off 200MA. Below are some of my most successful setups at the Open: Pullback ORBs (1-2-3 Candles) William's Harmonious setup Fallen Angel Flattop Breakout/Bullflag ABCD setup My most successful setups at Mid/After noon: I don't get lot of time to practice in the mid/after noon market and I am not good at it either. Nevertheless what worked for me was, Hammer Double/Triple Bottom Bounce off 50/200 MAs. My least successful setups are: Wishful Thinking/Hoping: When the setup is no longer valid but I stayed in the trade hoping for it to turn my way. Or I enter into a trade without a defined Stoploss, as a result messed up my Trade. VWAP pullback LONG: Conventional ORBs: Reversal - MA cross B. Trade Analysis: Below is my performance based on Float size of the Stock (Lowfloat vs Midcap vs Large cap) and time of the day. I trade Low priced-Large caps stocks in the same way as LowFloat stocks (for e.g Fallen angel setup). I will create a separate topic to discuss about some of the trades and share it with members. C. WinLoss analysis and P&L: Below is my Win/Loss ratio and P&L comparison. Overall I had 95 Trades for the month (I am happy about not overtrading). 42% Winners with a profit factor of 1.86. The Profit factor was 2.6, until I had 3 consecutive maxloss days and then I reduced my share size very much. D. Rules: These are my Trading rules, they are evolving. Don't hold overnight positions Only one trade at a time (unless there is a Range order to take care of the current trade) Stick to the Stoploss. No Premarket Trading. No Averaging up/down to Losing positions No Early partials, before 1R. Max 4-5 trades per day, mostly 2 trades.No overtrading.
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1 pointTuesday July 9th, 2019 Sleep: 7 hours. Mood: good, ready to trade. first trade of the day was an ABCD in MU. took it at the break of a new 2min high risking a new 5min low to 2R because my stop loss was too far to make 3R realistic. i should have got out on the shooting start after a new HOTD but i wasn't paying full attention as i was on the phone and not concentrating. Then i got hopeful that it would come back instead of being realistic about the price action and got stopped out for a full 1R loss. GOOD: entry was right on time. RFI: should have got out way before stop loss. MOOD: fine, should have been fully concentrating on the market CONSISTENT: yes. Last trade was an MA trend trade on AMD. it was trending higher after about 20 mins of chop so i waited for a pullback to the 9MA on the 2min and then a new 2min high and it just took off. I'm mad that i got out as early as i did, i cut my 3R target by 4 cents when there was absolutely no reason in the price action. I remember thinking that i didn't want to let this trade go against me because i already had a loss today so i got out short. hit my price target maybe a minute later then didn't make a new 5min low all the way to $33! almost 7R in my favor. it's weird that that 5min flag candle on huge volume scared me. it should have been a sign to try for 4R but instead all i could think of was it reversing. GOOD: nailed the entry, great setup RFI: cut the trade way too short. MOOD: good. CONSISTENT: yes but i really should have stuck all the way to my profit target. What i did good today: took good setups and great entries What i did bad today: hoped for MU to turn around and cut AMD too early What can i do better tomorrow: cut the losers and keep the winners.
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1 pointMonday 7/08/2019 I had a well-being score of 6/10 this morning. My nerves were good. Trading live but on half shares. I took 3 live trades today. One with MU, then BABA and one with MU again that was supposed to be on SIM but was accidentally live. MU and AAPL were my primary focuses at the open. Both gapped down and had heavy levels above their current price, so I really did not want to trade either long. MU set up as a 2min ORB as it created a hammer and broke the 39.07 daily level, the HOTD and the high of premarket all around the same time. I would normally enter the trade there but there were so many strong levels above it I waited. It finally broke the 200MA-1min and 200MA-5min and I went long. Looking back it was probably extended. I should have taken the trade earlier or waited for it to break the 39.34 daily level, but I was too long biased at the time. Also R/R was only 1.5 but with a chance to go red to green I entered the trade with PDC as my target and the 39.17 level as my stop out. MU struggled to break the 39.34 level and 200MA for 4 minutes. But AMD was reversing and was moving higher so I was hoping MU would follow. But, then the price started to retrace I was stopped out at my planned level. I was looking for a 10 min ORB setup and found BABA. At first it didn’t look good since it was near a daily level at 168.91. But, I had a minute to investigate before the 10 min candle finished. I couldn’t find where the 168.91 level was from but the daily level at 168 was created recently and was strong. So I shorted with the 168 level as my target and the 169.76 level as my S/O. The price did drop to the 168.91 level where I took a first partial, but apparently that level was strong and it bounced. I exited the trade slightly beyond my B/E when it was clearly reversing. MU reversed and was setting up the same as my first trade. I was going to wait for the price to break the 200MA again so I had time to switch to SIM. After switching the order entry template I forgot to click my watch list to activate the change. So when I went long at the break of the 200MA I was still in live mode. I noticed this right away but the trade was moving in my favor. Since I should not be taking this trade live I partialed heavier. Instead of ¼, ¼, ¼, etc, I partial ¼, 1/3, ½ and thus ran out of shares fast and missed most of the move. This bothered me and even though I partialed heavy on purpose due to the hot key mistake. I really don’t like my MU winner was a tiny bit smaller than my MU loser. Score card: What I did good today: Nerves were fine even though it’s the first live trading in 9 days. How did I challenge myself today? I took a 10 minute ORB. What I did bad today: Should have followed my instincts with the first MU trade and entered early. Hot key mistake. What can I do better tomorrow: I shouldn’t be so biased where to enter a trade. Things continuously change and so should the trade setup.
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1 pointMonday July 8th, 2019 Sleep: 6.5 hours. Mood: good, ready to trade. Only took one trade today, an ORBD on $AMD. i liked the rejection on the 2min candle and then it couldn't break VWAP so i got in short right at the 5min body, with VWAP as my stop loss. 3R was the PPDH so i was thinking about bailing at 2R but it got to 2R so fast i held on. it hit my profit target but it didn't fill and i didn't want to pinch pennies so i bailed a little bit early. it would have filled six minutes later but i'm happy with the trade. GOOD: took the trade. i was really hesitant in my trading last week so i'm happy i jumped on this trade. RFI: changed my plan for 3R and lost some profits. MOOD: great CONSISTENT: yes. What i did good today: Took a good trade What i did bad today: Changed my trade and cut profits a little short What can i do better tomorrow: Stick to the trade.
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1 pointJuly 3&5, 2019 - No Trade Challenge Traded sim on Wednesday for the purposes of seeing how my emotions were after pressing the enter hotkey. To my surprise, the same thoughts were occurring when I entered a sim trade. Obviously, the level of emotion was far less, but the same thought process that was occurring immediately after I entered the trade. I noticed it was not the $ risk per trade that is bothering me; rather, upon entry my first thought is about being wrong, so when the natural pullback occurs it re-enforces my thought process of being wrong and increases my anxiety level. I spent some time on Wednesday and Thursday pondering how I am going to tackle this, but still did not come up with a solid plan, so when no stocks met my pre-market criteria on Friday, I choose to take the No Trade Challenge with William H. I saw a couple of good entry points on $KTPI and $AMD, but I just sat back and watched. Interestingly, when I identified these entry points and it crossed the moving average that would have triggered an entry, I had the same thoughts cross my mind. Overall the last three days have been quite productive in the psychology realm. Going to go hit the running route now and ponder how to tackle this demon. Looking forward to Monday and getting back into the swing of things. Sample Set Results, P E E E P E P 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
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