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Showing content with the highest reputation on 08/14/2019 in Posts

  1. 2 points
    8-14-19 tired little under 4hrs sleep...... SSS, Bucci, and Iced Coffee..... PAT: Sticky Notes.......... Do not trade out of boredom, Walk away or Journal........... Look for more Patterns........... Fine tune trade sizes for R/R............. +AMRN ORB R/R .08/.34 took 500 for 40.00/170.00 risk was below VWAP at the time +72.42 +JD VWAP False Breakout reversal......... Didnt let it go to my Stop as I did not like the price action change....... .05/.18 , 25.00/90.00 -15.00 Cons: The JD trade after some thought was bouncing off of the 50ma and is something I should have picked up on Pros: During these two trades I did follow all my Sticky Notes, Rules and PAT........ Even though it was tough I kept myself from trading AMRN in the first 5........ Note to Self: Continue using my Sticky Notes as my guide............. Do not overtrade out of boredome........... Profit Target +50.00: +57.42
  2. 2 points
    Wednesday August 14th, 2019 Sleep: 6:45. Mood: good, excited to trade but feeling cautious this morning after Monday and Tuesday's results. Saw the harmonious short in AMD. it broke the pre-market low and was down trending on all the time frames. i waited for a pullback to the pre-market and even dollar $31 for the entry but pulled the trigger a little early. set my profit target for 3R and once it never really got close to my stop, hit my profit target on the second LOTD break. Extremely happy with this trade. GOOD: setup, R/R, entry, exit. well executed trade. RFI: could have got a better entry MOOD: pride. feel really great getting one trade that puts me flat for the week CONSISTENT: yes What i did good today: pushed myself to take a trade in the first 15 minutes What i did bad today: could have got a little bit better entry What can i do better tomorrow: keep trading good setups
  3. 2 points
    Hey Everyone, Well sample set 5 brought to light some issues in the numbers in relation to ratios and proper account building. I think this is a product of being more comfortable with my entry point, so I have started focusing more on profit taking and the actual management of the trade. Here is the biggest change for this sample set. After analyzing my numbers, they did not make sense. My daily goal was below 2% of my actual account (not $ amount in the broker due to it being offshore) and I was risking 1% each trade with a daily max loss of 2% of my actual account. See the numbers do not make sense. I think I ended up with this as I was looking to increase my $ risk per share, but never changed what I was looking for as a daily target. Four areas I want to work on during this sample are: (1) Taking profits only at 1R, 2R, and Profit target (2) Holding through the initial pullback if the stock does not drop right away (3) Learn it is ok to be wrong and lose. My desired outcomes I am looking for at the end of the sample set are: (1) Focusing on the execution of each step in my trading plan. (Indicators, confirmations, risk analysis/management, entry, and profit taking) (2) I want to be comfortable being wrong. (3) I want to see the results of trading using a 1% max loss per day and a 2% daily goal based off a $5000 account size. All of my indicators, confirmations, and risk analysis that defines my edge is based on information obtained in Andrew’s book, lifetime Webinars, William's & Aiman Trade reviews, and the BBT website. Edge Defined – I am trading 3 strategies. Trading Plan: I plan is to trade (1) 5 min Orb, (1) 15 min Orb, (1) Moving Average crossover. If I do not trade a 5 or 15 min orb those trades can than transfer to the afternoon Moving average crossover trades. Edge Criteria 5/15 Min Strategy: I have three parts to my trade plan: risk analysis, indicators, and confirmations Risk Analysis: 1:2 or Greater Indicators: Must meet 3 of 5 Trades within the ATR Small share size with high volume ORBO closes above VWAP/ORBD closes below VWAP No large wicks (wick cannot be larger than body) Close Should be close to the VWAP Confirmations: Must meet 2 of 2 Pullback towards VWAP in a “ꓥ” (long) or “V”(short) Direction Rejection of VWAP with Moving Averages in a favorable position Edge Criteria Moving Average Crossover Strategy: Risk Analysis: 1:2 or Greater Indicators: Must meet 3 of 5 Fails to make a new 15 Min High/low 9/20 EMAs cross the 50 SMA on 1 Min chart 9/20 EMAs sloping to cross the 50 SMA on 2 Min chart 50 SMA on 1 Minute is Semi-flat 50 SMA slopes are the same on the 1 and 2 min charts Confirmations: Must meet 2 of 2 Has a 5 Minute Setup Has a 15 Minute Setup MAs are above/below the entry point Profit Taking Plan: I decided to completely overhaul my $ risk per trade and the $ account size I base my trading off of to be more in line with the teachings of BBT. (I keep only a portion of my equity in the CMEG account). So, I am seeing if I can grow an account that is smaller than my total equity. If I can't grow this how can I expect to grow my total equity. I figured I should use what BBT recommends as the minimum to trade with. Account Size: $5,000 Max loss per Day: $51 or 1.02% of Account $ Risk Per Trade = $17 Daily Profit Target: $102 or 2.04% of Account Partial Plan: Plan A – 25% Out 1R, All out 2R, profit target, or break even (minimum 1.75R) Plan B – 25% Out 1R, 75% out 2R, rest out at profit target or 1R (minimum 1.56R) Plan C – 25% Out 1R, 75% out 2R, rest out at profit target or break even (minimum 1.38R) Share Size: I am taking share size based on a fixed dollar amount. Thanks to KyleK29 & fjmocke for the hotkey setup. Daily Trading Goal: My daily trading goal is to trade only within my edge, stick to my profit taking plan, control my emotions, and be disciplined. If I meet these then it is a green day regardless of what my P/L says.
  4. 2 points
    August 13, 2019 - Partial ($AMD) So I have a what is wrong with the snap shot question for everyone? It is not very obvious with the first image but the second image it is very clear. Today I was looking to take $JD short if it rejected the VWAP. It did not, so I moved onto $TME which was not giving me a pullback towards VWAP. Eventually, I went with trusty old $AMD. I got a B+ setup on $AMD as it popped above VWAP but than lost it. There were a lot of large Bids, so when it sold off hard below all the moving averages and lost VWAP, I took it short once it broke the support level at 32.06. I took a partial at 1R and than I exited at what I thought was break-even. As you can tell this was after the tariff news came out and I started having some issues with my DAS platform being delayed. When I hit the cover hot key I got filled almost .08 above where the price marker was. My ping rate was fine, I just think the market got flood with orders so since I was on WIFI, I wasn't get the most current data. If you didn't see what the issue was on the snap shot below, look at the level 2 data. In real time the BID was moving but the ASK with stationary for me. Overall I call it a win, because I could have gotten squeezed really badly. Tomorrow I will start my new sample set. Sample Set Results, S E P S P 16 G G P
  5. 1 point
    August 14, 2019 - Stop and Partial ($BAC, $AMD) Not too bad of a day today. I got stopped out on $BAC. I had a good entry and decent setup, but I did not manage it well once in it. I noticed the price action was bouncing off the 50 SMA and not breaking it several times. I should have exited near it and then re-entered if it could have broken the level. I exited at the stop but the squeeze filled me a little higher. I than took a short on $AMD for 15 min ORBD and had another good entry. This trade I did not manage the profit taking according to my plan. I took an all out before the 1R level, mainly because I lost confidence in the trade. If I would have stuck to my plan I would have gotten a 1R and stopped at break even. It than gave the exact same entry as before and did the move I was looking for. Not too bad of a day, very comfortable just not happy with how I handled the trades once I was in them. But for a middle Wednesday, I will call it a win. (biggest losing day of the month) Sample Set Results, S 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
  6. 1 point
    Wednesday 8/14/2019 I had a well-being score of 6.5/10 this morning. My nerves were OK. I took 1 live trade with AAPL and 5 SIM trades. AAPL and ROKU looked fine to have as my two main focuses this morning. I was long biased on AAPL. At the open the price dropped and tested the 202.87 level and bounced. Then created a nice hammer at the 203.50 level. Broke it and retraced testing the 203.50 level again on holding. So now is the perfect time to go long. But there is an issue. The volume was not there and I have combo 50MA-1min and 203.73 level in my way. The price only gave me 1 second at 203.50 and I decided not to enter. Then the price popped and broke the two levels I was worried about. Did I check if it was holding that level? Did I wait for it pop up higher and retest the level so I know it’s strong? No I was too itching to take the trade at that point. Volume was still not quite there but at least there are no levels above it for 60 cents. So I entered at 203.74 with a target of 204.50 and a stop of 203.50. that stop was too tight, though that level had proven itself already, so I took half shares. The target looked strong having two daily levels. I partialed at 204 and at the 204.33 daily level. Looks like the 204.33 was too strong and price retraced and I exited at B/E. Too bad if I took the trade at 203.50 I would have survived the pull back and caught the run with AAPL. But without the volume I don’t think that entry had low enough risk. The chart when I took the trade. The entire trade: I then took 5 SIM trades. Two were winners and three I was stopped out (all with ROKU) . I still have a lot to learn on ROKU. I tried using the short finder app with Centerpointe and was unsuccessful. Maybe because I tried to use it on SIM. I knew I would still have to pay for the location and reserving them, but they have a 100 share min and I am not ready to take 100 shares on ROKU. Score Card (live trade) AAPL 88% What I did good today: I like that I considered volume in the AAPL trade. What I am grateful from today? That I am still just taking paper trades on ROKU. I almost took one live today. I know better now. What do I need to improve on: I need to learn how to use the short finder on Centerpoint. I will call them today to determine what I did wrong.
  7. 1 point
    13.Aug.19 Green day. +2r. Took only 3 trades today, as I couldn't be available at the open. Watchlist: $ROKU, $JD, $TWTR and $RKDA, $DCPH, $CVET Trade1: $ROKU. Was strong today for the 3rd consecutive day, I took micro size at premarket close to VWAP. Risk was 0.1r only. Exited before the open, got .5r profit. Premarket trading is almost like trading in slowmotion. Only risk is the volatile price movement and the risk of going beyond the stoploss. It is important to have very good entry and proper share size. I was expecting the price to go down af the open as it was too much extended, but $ROKU opened strong but sold off. $ROKU has formed a shooting star on the daily at the close. Tomorrow, i expect it to break down finally, after the bull run. Trade2: $JD. I missed the open, waited for a good setup. It occured on $JD at 12PM, I saw the ABCD pattern on the 5min and also a hammer. Took it long. Was patient with my partials. I saw lot of ask at the $30.5 level, din't want to get caught in that, so exited just before that. +2r. Trade3: $CRON. Watched $CRON hitting 200MA on 15min, was tempted to take short although I was done for the day. Took it with half share size, it moved with SPY and got stopped out. -0.5r Trade4: $CVET. Took reversal on $CVET, realized I was on SIM after the entry. Treated it like a Live trade. Got 2R/3R. Good: I waited patiently after missing the Open, I took my first trade only after 12PM. No FOMO, when other members were making trades. Today was an excellent day to trade the open, I felt. Improvement: Happy with my trading today.
  8. 1 point
    8-13-19 4hrs Sleep SSS, Coffee and toast..... Long night...... Pay Attention To: Follow Sticky Note...... readjust my share sizes for max loss of 50.00........ Look out for strong MAs.... Need to get back to my basics and stop trying to rush / mirror trade..... Take my patterns and do my normal partials and honer mt stops.... +MU my mistake was got trigger happy and took the trade before the first 5 and got stopped.... If I would have waited for the next 5min candle this would have been a one and done.... Also took a bit too much share size..... (60.00) JD .... Christmas tree.... best that I can describe ......... 1st, Long and got stopped out which was too tight.... I took the trade again with the proper stop, took some profit before BE then took it again on an ABCD and with a boob mistake I took more instead of continued to take profit..... kept taking it for small profits... Most of my entries were due to lots of large ASK orders in the proper price range.... (31.68) Hot Key mistake.... Added to a winning trade instead of getting out on accident should have been about +100 +AMD Reversal off of VWAP on the 5min using the 20 as a stop and yesterdays marker for profit..... +AMD bounce off VWAP again but this time the BID orders coming through were very strong and the action went fast and I got out a little after my stop (I was just a little slow)..... Don't even know why I took it on the third.... Was bored and realized it so I got out at BE to not mess with my day..... And now I am completely over trading and I will call it a morning and come back in the afternoon or tomorrow.... +40.83 CONS: Over Traded overall in a big way, took several trades out of boredom and ended up getting out of them mostly at BE (negative after Fees).......... Traded MU in the first 5min and cost me a one and done.......... Still need to fine tune my trade sizes.... PROS: I did follow the rest of my PATs........ I do feel very good about following the LVL2 and using it to get in and out of trades Note to self: Sticky Notes.......... Do not trade out of boredom, Walk away or Journal........... Look for more Patterns........... Fine tune trade sizes for R/R............. Profit Target +50.00: (50.58) .........Bad hotkey mistake should have been about +120 JD............ just trying to trade mainly off the LVL2........ Seems to work for quick scalps....... Short for a quick 10.00 then long for another 40.00
  9. 1 point
    Tuesday August 13th, 2019 Sleep: 8 hours. Mood: good, ready to trade. took one trade in $MU. tried to do a 15MIN ABCD. got in on a new 2min high with volume on the 2min chart. it did a 2min engulfing the next candle which is a signal for me to get out but instead i held to my stop loss. GOOD: entry was good, stop loss was appropriate RFI: too flat for a true ABCD. had an early exit signal that i ignored. MOOD: frustrated CONSISTENT: yes, stuck to my plan What i did good today: waited for an entry on volume, stuck to my stop What i did bad today: I want to practice getting out of trades when i see clear indication is't not working and i should have done that today but i didn't What can i do better tomorrow: keep taking setups. Other comments for tomorrow: i want to keep trading but i'm tilted now so i'm just going to trade in sim. i do feel like i'm going a little crazy because i see the things i need to do after the fact but then everyday i keep repeating the same mistakes over and over. there's really nothing else to do besides keep practicing but it does feel like walking through quicksand some days.
  10. 1 point
    Tuesday 8/13/2019 I had a well-being score of 6.5/10 this morning. My nerves were OK. I took 1 live trade with AAPL and one SIM trade with ROKU. AAPL and ROKU looked fine to have as my two main focuses this morning. I liked the 201.30 to 201.40 levels, on AAPL with high of premarket and daily level. I was planning to go long if it broke those levels with volume. Though the R/R in theory is about 2 I knew that I wouldn’t get a perfect fill and my R/R would be less. Anyway it broke the level with good volume and I went long. My target was 202 with my stop at 201. It started to move higher quickly. Though I really wasn’t happy taking a trade 15 seconds after the open. I have been doing that too much lately. I did get 3 small partials before it retraced and I exited at B/E. Previously, I allowed some slack when exiting on AAPL if there was a strong level just below. But, I have been burned recently so I have stopped. Yes if I held to the high of premarket I probably would have got a $6 run. But I am not ready in my trading to do that yet. The chart when I took the trade. The entire trade: I then took a SIM trade with ROKU and did well, but honestly if you took anything to the long side this morning you would have done well. It seems you have to always keep an eye on the bid-ask spread on ROKU anytime you are about to take a partial. Score Card (live trade) AAPL 87% What I did good today: I like my ROKU entry What I am grateful from today? Controlled my FOMO when I missed the rest of the AAPL run. What do I need to improve on: I need to learn how to use the short finder on Centerpoint quickly if ROKU stays on my top focuses. It takes too long to use at the open, but maybe when things slow down about 10-15min after the open it will be useable. It will cost an extra $0.006/share to find short shares for ROKU.
  11. 1 point
    Van Tharp Institute Peak Performance Course Vol 2: How to control stress Chapter 1 The first chapter of this volume essentially describes why stress is bad for you and your trading. I read the chapter, but there was nothing new or noteworthy. Chapter 2 This chapter was a self-assessment test. It comprised of 116 questions in three parts. 1) WT test = Worry Tendencies 2) LSI test = Life Stresses Inventory 3) SPI test = Stress Protection Inventory All three scores should be analyzed in conjunction with one another to determine your final assessment. How easily do you worry? How many issues in your life are there to worry about? What behaviors do you daily perform to protect yourself from these worries? So I scored a 38 on the WT test. This means I worry more than the average person and I may have psychological difficulties with any sort of investment. The LSI test first started that I have type “A” personality tendencies. Also, the test splits your amount of stress into 5 categories: personal, financial, health, job-related, and family. Sadly I scored “high” stress amount in all 5 categories for a total score of 110. Anything above a 60 is considered high. The SPI test I scored a 39 which means my stress protection is average. As a rule of thumb your LSI/SPI ratio should be <0.6 for a trader. Mine is 2.8 When you take the three scores combined, the book has a table. You take your WT score and match it with your SPI score than it has the LSI/SPI ratio you need to be a trader. According to this table the book gives me (and my scores) this warning: You should not be trading under any circumstances Ouch! What’s even more painful is I have really improved on all of these categories in the past year. I can’t imagine how I would have scored last year. I am hoping the course will improve the first two WT and LSI, but I will try and immediately improve the SPI. SPI is split into 5 categories. I did score well in two of them (Nutrition and problem solving). I scored poorly in Exercise, recreation and mental relaxation. I actually like exercising, but time constraints and the lack of energy has really caused an exercise deficit. See graph below which shows how my fitness level has really degraded this year The chart is VO2 Max versus month. I guess I should have shorted in July when it broke the 47 support level I will really need to get this curve moving in the opposite direction. I have increased meditation recently so in a month or so that score should increase. As for recreation, I don’t think I have done anything for myself in over 20 years. If I have any spare time I immediately think what can I do for my family. I am going to have to think about how to improve that area. I will retake the test at the end of the course or in 3 months. Which-ever comes last.
  12. 1 point
    Van Tharp Institute Peak Performance Course Vol 1: How to use Risk Chapter 9 The first part of the chapter explains profits and losses in multiples of “R” and the importance of a predetermined stop loss level. Since I know these too well I will not add any notes. The rest of Chapter 9 discusses techniques for swing and position trading. I read it but nothing was note worthy for day trading. Chapter 10 Chapter 10 is a self-assessment test. The test has a possible 123 points and if you score below 80 you should stop trading until you finish the course. I can’t list the questions, due to copyright infringement, but I will list the title of each section so you can see what they are looking for. 1) Preparation, how well do you know your strengths and weaknesses. 2) Business Plan 3) System that fits me 4) 100 R-multiples with the system expectancy 5) 30R from each market type collect and examined 6) Use the system for the market type intended 7) Objectives that fit me 8] Position sizing algorithm to achieve my objectives 9) My major issues identified and fixed 10) Do top tasks regularly I scored high enough that the test suggested that I could keep trading, but I have a lot of work to do. The “a lot of work to do” is no surprise. Its amazing after 16 months with BBT and working ~15-20 hours a week on trading during that time, I feel that I am barely starting to get the hang of it and I know I have years to go. So that’s the end of volume 1. There are 5 volumes in the course.
  13. 1 point
    Van Tharp Institute Peak Performance Course Vol 1: How to use Risk Chapter 8 The danger of risk-taking occurs not only when you don’t recognize that you’re taking one, but also when you do not recognize the extent of the risk you are taking. Risk can be objectively stated using these methods: 1) The standard dev of your return over a 12 month period 2) The probability of success with a 95% confidence limits 3) Calibrating your ability to predict with your game plan 4) The trading salary and overhead If you are a net loser, then your risk of ruin is 100% if you continue to use the same strategy. Standard deviation of the percentage change in your account is a good indicator of the “risk value” of your account. The issue with applying this to my account (besides I have only been trading effectively for 6 months) is I have been keeping my fixed “R” very low while I am in the learning phase. In addition I have been essentially flat P/L each month for the last 6 months. So my standard deviation of my percent change is near zero. Thus I am taking on almost no risk. Which I knew, since I am keeping my “R” very low. But, I will use this later, when I increase my “R” to determine my risk. Then the course asks you to calculate your 95% confidence interval. I will use the last 3 months of data for 1min/2min ORBs. I took 93 trades with a success of 46%. So my interval is: =0.46+/-(1.96*sqrt((.46*.54)/92) = (56%, 36%). Thus there is a 95% confidence my success rate will be in between 36% and 56%. The course also asks the reader to retake the prediction test with their own system. Hopefully there will be better correlation. I am setting that up now, but since I will remember the trades after I set it up, I will test myself a couple of weeks later to make sure I don’t remember the trade. The last part of the chapter is a test you take to determine if trading is more like a business or a hobby. Obviously profits are more critical as a business, but if you are really enjoying it as a hobby, profits become less critical. Though I can’t list the questions due to copyright issues I will list one example so you can understand the test: I enjoy listening to financial discussions. Respond with a score from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree). The higher the score on all the questions, more likely it is a hobby. I scored a 37 on the test. They say 40 and over you consider trading a hobby. So I am borderline, when considering trading between hobby and a business.
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