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Showing content with the highest reputation on 02/13/2019 in Posts
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3 pointsFebruary 12, 2019 - $MU met my trade criteria, but I did not get a pullback to enter on. It popped up right after the close of the 15 minute candle. Rule 15 for me is that if I miss the entry cut my losses at $0 and move on. In the past my biggest losses have come from chasing a stock after I miss the entry, which then messes up my risk/reward ratio. I had to fight the urge to stay out of the trade but managed to do it. Instead I dealt with the should have, could have, but did not. To manage that I just went back in the journal to my biggest losses and said to myself that is why you did not enter. Sample Set Results P G S G S 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
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2 pointsFeb 12th P&L After Commissions: -$36 Trades: 6 Did I Walk Away On My Own: Yes I almost didn't trade today. I had a hard time putting the baby back to sleep last night. I finally fell back asleep around 5am pst, and I decided to not trade for the day. I woke up around 7 and felt there was still enough time to view the markets without pressuring myself to trade immediately. I decided to go ahead and trade. I wanted to see how it would be if I didn't trade the open. I often fall into a hole, so I felt this was a good experiment since I missed the open. I got to trade strategies that I was more comfortable with and the moves were slower which I also liked. $EA - EA got me twice today. I chickened out of the first trade. It was a classic reversal, but the price action scared me. The fear of a small loss forced me to exit at B/E even though there was no technical reason. I saw a few candles in a row pushing down. It gave me the perfect entry that I was looking for, but also scared me out because it was so close to breaking under the 50SMA. I should have set a hard stop on the trade. I think i would have felt more holding at that point. The second $EA trade, I held too long. I wanted to catch one of the long hour moves that moves $2 that you sometimes see. I got a great entry and I liked the trade a lot. It came down almost $1, but I didn't take any profits. I was hoping to hit limits at $101 and $100. Those never ended up hitting. It had a pretty good squeeze and I held til my break even. I could have exited earlier during the squeeze, but at that point I was emotional. The rational thinking should be that the stock would continue upwards so I should get out. I was thinking in dollars. I was thinking, If I exit here, I would only make $5ish or so, so I might as well hold to VWAP and see what happens. Great entries on both of these trades, but for 2 different reasons, I didn't make money. $LULU - LULU gave me the perfect reversal entry that I am looking for. Breaks the 50SMA, and the moving averages cross under as well. I take it when it retest. Tight stop above the 50SMA. It came down my way to a level where it bounced a few minutes prior. I wasn't too worried and hoping that it would continue down. It didn't and started to come back to my entry. Volume was drying up as well. I didn't like the stock at that point and decided to exit at break even. $ROKU - This one is the one that hurt the most. I saw that it broke under the 50SMA and then came back above it. The moving averages didn't go under yet at that point, so I figured it would be a good entry long. The stock did move up my way and made a big drop down to my break even. I decided to hold and it continued dropping. I stopped when it was clear it wasn't coming back and broke the low from 10 minutes ago. So a rather slow day with small losses except from ROKU which was an average sized loss. I missed a few moves that would have made my day, but I am ok with that. A couple of things that I am still trying to figure out about myself and my trading is what exactly am I trying to do. Am I going to take profits quickly and take a few winning trades to hit my goal. Or am I the guy whos going to hold for an hour+ and let one trade do all of the heavy lifting. I am still thinking about my second EA trade. I realize that I messed up on both, but the second one hurts more. I am coming to the conclusion that exiting a trade early hurts less than holding onto a winner too long where the winner becomes a break even trade or a loser. If i took profits appropriately, I would have a had a slightly green day and that would have been great for me and my confidence. I'm on bit of a losing streak here, and a green day could help spur more green days.
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1 point2/12/2019 Today was brutal. Took a huge loss. Not upset, but definitely disappointed. Result: $CHGG - Missed the ORBD at the 4-6 minute mark. I didn't fret this and waited for an opportunity to form. I watched $CHGG trend up on the 1-minute so I went long 200 shares looking for the push up to VWAP and sold near VWAP. I was expecting a possible pullback and a fall of the VWAP since the price action sold off at open. $CHGG - After the price action pulled back on the 1-minute, I took this as a short opportunity at the 9MA 1-minute for 200 shares. Price action squeezed up and I took a loss at VWAP. Price action came back down and here I'm thinking a reject of the 9MA 5-minute/1-minute. I went short 200 shares and added 100 on the way down. I was so sure the move would happen. Price action found resistance at 37 and squeezed up. Sold for a loss at VWAP. The plan was to cover half near low of day or probably some before that depending on the push down. This was a huge loss. I guess the problem here was shorting on a strong uptrend. I really thought that fade would happen, but got faked out. I wasn't upset when the squeeze happened, but definitely shocked/disappointed. Maybe this move doesn't happen as often until there's a stronger trend already happening. $EA - I didn't take a trade here, but EA did form the pattern I was looking for on $CHGG. Will need to study this for more examples. $CHGG - I took one more trade to the long side after a close above the 20MA 5-minute. I went long 200 shares looking for a move up, but after the price action seemed to stall, I cut it for a loss. $UAA - Went short 200 shares looking for a pullback to VWAP 1-minute or the 9MA 5-minute. Probably a bad trade, but was looking for that pullback after several bearish candles. Definitely was a fake out.
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1 pointTuesday February 12th, 2019 Sleep: 7.5 hours. mood: good, ready to trade. I only saw one ORB that met 3/4 of my criteria but i wasn't looking at the screen and missed my entry. i ended up not taking any trades in the first 30 minutes. first trade was a 1min MA trend trade in CRON. I liked the VWAP rejection on the 1min chart at 9:44 and 9:45. i wanted to get in earlier but that isn't one of my setups so i waited for it to hit the MA and took it long risking below the PDC and PPDL i was trying to break the $20 for my first sell. it ended up making a new 5min low so i bailed for pretty much break even. GOOD: waited for my setup RFI: risk was too much MOOD: good CONSISTENT: yes. i took the same trade again when the MAs got really close at 10:24. i got in at just the right moment for a new 5min high. i sold the first at the pop of the HOTD but it was a little less than what i wanted. held the last 25% for break of the PDH. I nailed the entry on that one but i'm still selling my first piece too early. it was still a good trade but it could have been great. GOOD: entry was right on time RFI: sold too early MOOD: happy CONSISTENT: yes What i did good today: stuck to my plan and only took setups What i did bad today: missed that ORB in EA and my selling still needs work What can i do better tomorrow: try to hold your winners longer Other comments for tomorrow: keep trading like this.
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1 pointDaily Trading Log Tuesday 2/12/19 Well being score of 5.5/10. Still on self-imposed 1 day a trade max. Good 2min ORBD setup on AMD but not well executed. Actually did two mistakes on the trade today. I did short exactly where I wanted on the new daily low on a very bearish forming 2min candle. But again I cut my shares in half at the last moment again. Got to stop doing that.Then AMD dropped to my tech level (23.31 which I drew in yellow before the start of the market - see chart below) for my first partial. But, because I took so few shares, I did the usual rookie thinking, "there was not enough profit yet." Yep definitely watching my P/L. I saw the next level was only a few cents away so I waited. Now the 23.31 level is already at a 2R profit. So this is really ridiculous not to take some profit. AMD then retraced to my planned S/O. Unsure why I see two cover arrows, I only covered once and I don't see any open positions (accidental long). Hopefully I don't get charged an extra commission. I went 3 months live with taking the correct share size every trade as one of my few positive things that I did. Since I have switched to DAS I seem to have the instinct to cut my shares in half. On Etrade-Pro I would calculate the shares mentally based on price/risk/ATR. On DAS, since we can, I have it programmed into my hotkeys (my buttons only show the risk amount). Now that I don't go through the math anymore I feel as if I don't believe the share size is correct and I instinctively halve it. Correcting this will be my main focus this week.
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1 pointPeter, After a few months of finally getting tried of trading just to trade, I have been able to develop a solid set of criteria that must be met before entering a trade. I wish I had done this in Simulator. It has definitely cut down on my FOMO, calmed me down while in the trade, and has allowed me to focus on developing my trading skills. Once I can get to a spot were I can trade both 5 minute orbs and 15 minutes in the same day, I think I will be at a spot where I can start to increase my risk per share.
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1 pointFebruary 11, 2019 - $AMD (5 of 20) - Stopped Out I held on to my loser too long. I should have exited before my planned stop when the stock failed to make a new 5 minute low. Although you should not alter the sample set after starting, this is a rule that should have been in there before I started. New Exit Rule - If after I enter the trade the stock moves against me in the area between my entry and stop, I will exit if the stock fails to make a new 5 minute high/low. I will re-enter if goes back in my direction. Sample Set Results P G S G S 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
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1 pointDaily Trading Log Monday 2/11/19 Well being score of 5 (calculated in last post). Still on self-imposed 1 day a trade max. More nervous than usual knowing I will be posting the trade later. First thought is I really need to take profits a penny or two earlier. This was almost a good trade. AMD was forming a very bearish 2min candle. So I shorted on the new low (VWAP was my stop loss), but took half shares (cut my risk in half). I don't know why I did that at the last second. Need to search my psyche why I did that. Took 1st profit early, before the 22.88 tech level I drew (in yellow) because I am usually nervous before my 1st partial. After that I relax (too much) and patiently wait for my 2nd target, 22.8 on the 5min chart (200MA) which missed by a penny. Then got out on a new 1min high. So I need to take those partials a couple of pennies before any target. So instead of a good trade, I would call this one a fizzle. The trade did enforce the need to take partials a little early and I need to soul search a bit to see why I cut my shares in half. I have been doing that more often lately. Overall a good learning trade.
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1 pointMark, this is my well being calculation from this morning. In general I don't score well in Winter. The cold and short days impact my work outs and energy levels. My Garmin informs me of the first 6 categories on the table. Fatigue level is self determined. I did have a headache this morning but that is unusual. I won't see a good score >7 until late Spring. My resting pulse doesn't drop below 50 all Winter.