October 19 trade on EBAY. I did a quick trade within the first five minutes on Ebay. That one trade made my daily goal, so if I was live I would have been done for the day and transferred to Sim. But since I am already in a simulator, I made the mental note that from this point forward all the trades would only be conducted in simulator and would not count towards any of my statistics. I did not make a video today as I cannot fit the recap in the 2 minute time limit, so I am just going to type it today. By the end of the day I had 4 trades, 2 positive, 2 negative because I let 1 of those go past my breakeven.
Trade 1 - Strategy - I was short biased as Ebay had a bad earnings report and it was having trouble popping above VWAP in the pre-market. I had a plan that if the stock sold off in the first minute that I would go short to 29.00 with a stop loss at VWAP if the the risk reward ratio was at least a 2:1. I entered and covered at 28.89 after a quick drop and then got out as the stock began to pull back towards my original profit target.
Trade 2 - Strategy - 5 Minute ORBD. I set my profit target at 28.61 with a stop loss at VWAP. This trade I did not execute my profit taking plan well, as I let the stock go past my breakeven point once I had taken my first out. I was messing around with the level 2 display being in the ladder view instead of the normal view I use. I like the visual of the ladder view as it was easy to identify what direction the price action was moving; however, I did not like how I was unable to clearly identify when the stock was at my breakeven price. This caused the stock to move past my break even point, so I decided to just use my original stop loss as an exit as it was only .05 away. I exited the trade when it hit VWAP.
Trade 3 - Strategy - did not have one as I started to let the candles dictate instead of analyzing the information the candles were presenting. Although I did not make money on this trade, this was probably the best trade of the day from a psychology development perspective. I entered at the 29.02 support level believing that the stock would go down toward my profit target from the previous trade at 28.61. I was saying to myself, "I know this stock is going to hit that profit target", thanks to the book "Trading in the Zone" I know when I start saying those words, I need to look for reasons why I am wrong. So I took my eyes off the 1 minute chart and started looking at the 5 minute and 15 minute chart. I quickly noticed on the five minute chart that the stock was making higher, higher, lows. When I saw this I said I need to get out and look for a profit target to the long side. I exited and quickly executed trade 4 to the long side.
Trade 4 - Strategy - Modified VWAP Reversal - I set an entry at the high of the second candle as the third candle did not make a new high. I set a stop at the low of the current candle as I was still a little short biased, and I set the profit target at the moving average at 29.58. I took profit at the resistance level of 29.46, a second out when the stock broke the 50 SMA on the 1 minute, and I exited when the stock hit my profit target.
Overall today I was happy with my trading. I met my daily goal and was in the green 4 of 4 trading days. I was also positive after commissions 4 of 4 days this week. I consider commissions & ECN fees as a learning price and do not count them when I consider whether I was green or red for the day. (Did not trade Monday)
Monthly stats
Win Rate% - 71% (3% increase from last week)
Average Win Ratio is below a 2:1 (1 dollar off a 2:1 ratio)
Net Equity curve is upward (increase from Horizontal)
Gross Equity curve is upward (Same as last week)
Current planned transition from primarily Simulator to Live trading is November 5, 2019.