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Low floats Strats, recaps and more by Fernando @BBT
nandoo89 posted a topic in Bear Bull Traders - Members Only!
Fernando's Low float blog post 1 Good afternoon guys, I would like to start this thread to discuss some of the strats, rules, psychology, recaps and so on in the low float world. A Lot of our guys are interested in low floats and some of the other guys would like to learn to be more well rounded; whatever your reason is to read this "blog" I hope it helps you in a positive way. Today I want to touch on some basic rules and set ups I use everyday. Because of the nature of small caps you have to set up rules to minimize the risk that comes with trading low floats. Let's highlights a couple of those: - Recognize your strengths; accept your weakness: Off the bat low floats are not for everyone. It is a fast, high risk, niche type of trading, if this type of trading does not fit you style it's okay to find something else, don't force something unnecessary. It will save you money and stress. I eliminated all other trades, setups and stocks that I don't do well off my playbook, I only trade what i'm "good" at it. An example of trades I wrote off my book are pre-market high break. I have more losses at this strategy than winners, so why keep doing it? After recognizing if low floats is your thing, develop a play that you see success and stick to it, develop that, make it better everyday, polish it. My favorite set up is a bull flag or first candle to make new highs, well go over that with more details soon. - Don't chase; avoid FOMO: Low floats can run points in a matter of seconds, literally seconds. One of my biggest rules is to wait for a pullback regardless if the stock is moving 3 points without me. Sometimes these pullbacks happen inside a one minute candle but for the purpose of this rule lets keep it basic and say that is a more well defined risk to wait for one or two candle of pullback before getting in. This pullback will give you a more well defined "bottom" or stop loss and a better entry, minimizing your risk. - Wait for the set up to form; don't guess: Lots of people like to trade low floats because of its range and potential for a big reward, but thats is also true for a big loss. My next rule is to wait for the set up to come to you. Do not anticipate a move too much unless is obvious, but again for the purpose of this thread let's not anticipate anything and keep it simple. The most used set ups in low floats are "momentum break", "first one minute candle to make a new high" or a bull flag/ABCD, so wait for the set up to form in front of you, don't "guess" is the right time to get in, you can visualize the setup forming in front of you and than get in with confirmation of volume, order flow, level two and so on. - Tight stop; make it or break it: A important rule that helps me a bunch is to keep a tight mental stop. Low floats are trades to be done at a breakout point, if you don't get instant resolution at that point, than you better off exiting the trade with a small loss or break even and getting back in another time. Remember, the same way the stock skyrockets it can plunge like a rock. Breakout point is the key word. Those are simple rules that you can apply in your trading routine and hopefully will help you somehow. We'll revisit rules, pointers and more on upcoming posts, now let's break it down a basic strategy that I use everyday. On the picture attached we have a crystal clear set up that defines the basics of the play. $MTSL popped up on the scanners last week, so I went over my process to see if it was worth it: -Volume (check) - Daily levels (check) Intraday activity (check) So $MTSL made a pretty decent move from 1.70$ to 2$, in this play we need a strong move upwards to show us strength with decent volume on those candles (#1 and #2) so than the waiting game for the setup to form started. After the strong first push we have a really "weak" pullback to the vwap. When I say weak pullback im referring to the volume, play close attention on how much less volume we had on the pullback (#3, #4, #5) that tells me that people are not just yet interested in shorting the stock, most likely we have traders taking profit, also we have the vwap and 9EMA around that area, that gives me a well defined risk and some sort of support. My next step here is to look for the breakout point and that would be the 1st candle to make a NH (new high) with confirmation of volume, lvl 2 and tape. I got in around 1.95$ when I saw volume picking up (more than we had on the previous pullbacks), level 2 looked good, so did the tape. Volume is another indicator that I use to confirm a breakout, on candle #6 we can see that spike in vol. My first target was 2.15$ and the rest for a bigger move or out BE (breakeven). Like mentioned before, this is a very basic concept of low floats, that offers better risk management when trading those stocks. As you progress in the "World of low floats" you will develop into more advanced trades by getting lots of screen time and experience. The important thing here is to follow steps into developing as a trader. You don't want to jump in with 1000 shares on your first trade or maybe don't even try these out live right away. One last tip for todays post. Don't skip steps in learning, there is no magical shortcut, only hard work. If you are a beginner, embrace that. learn the basics, the patterns and than move into a simulator. Be a master of your tools and execution. Than start small. After all that stop losing alot of money, lose less, get to break even, make a little, than make more. Aim for consistency Understand that trading takes time to develop, be very meticulous with your learning experience and put all you got into learning (not all your money, just all your efforts). If you are serious about trading, you will need to work hard, it's not a game for everyone, but you need to give it your best shot to find out if its for you. The markets is a "eternal learning experience" and we all learning here. Hope this post can help all of our members in a way and looking forward to post more Best regards, trade safe and follow your rules. Fernando Duarte ps: Pardon any grammar mistakes, this is my second language.- 21 replies
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