Valentin
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Everything posted by Valentin
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Nice journaling Mark, I love the checklist idea - definitely will be implementing something similar to that as I have troubles following my game plan. Seems like a great guideline giving you specific things to look for before every trade, minimizing the amount of subpar setups taken. Are you doing that checklist on OneNote and just importing the pic?
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Day 68 - April 16, 2020 7 Tickets 1 Symbols Green Day Watchlist: Game plan: Didn't have much, didn't want to overcomplicate. Coming off a few bad days - just wanted to keep it simple. BBBY - Look for a Short squeeze, strong earnings Long Look for this to drop and then squeeze above VWAP, wait for buyers to step up VZ Long If drops to 56.4 wait for confirmation of holding, or buyer stepping up and go long off that level VZ - Long - 1min - Reversal Was watching VZ for a reversal, couldn’t get a clear entry in, finally saw it come back up to the point of control on VolumebyPrice and took it long expecting it to hold and push up to VWAP+. Stop wasn’t great here as no technical levels, but placed it below PoC and the wall of bids at at 57 and 56.95. Good: Patriating into levels - MA on the 5. Improvement: Need to be a much better placed Stop - could have gotten out on break of trend, or placed right below the PDC. Entry wasn’t great either, a little late at this point. The wait and get in on double bottom of PDC would be perfect, VZ - Long - Double Bottom VZ Continued to look strong but stuck in range. - missed the double bottom off previous day close so took it as it came back down into MA's and held, SPY also pushing higher. T1 was into VWAP and T2 to retest highs. Took partials on previous high, and another partial into VWAP. Adjusted my stop for breakeven - without an adjustment would have gotten close to target. Good: Liked the entry waiting on confirmation of 57 hold and using MA's. Improvement: Could have added on the hold of MA's, partial into pop, buy on the drops. Trade Review Happy with my day, although I was super selective, felt much more productive than getting in and out a bunch of times. Been watching a lot of different videos online, to see thought process of entries, and the different things people look for. Also starting to understand level 2 a tiny little bit more, and very excited to see the results once I slowly master reading the tape. In the meantime, back to studying. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 2/2 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 2/2
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Day 67 - April 15, 2020 14 Tickets 2 Symbols Loss CCL (1) - Long - VWAP Bounce and Reject (Lvl2 , bids holding 11.95) -1 Adjusting Stop Took CCL long as it bounced off VWAP and the 11.95 re-bid. Took partial into previous day level and adjusted partial (no reason to adjust). CCL (2) - Short - VWAP Break and Go (Lvl 2, bid dropping at 11.95) Failed to hold above VWAP, and took it as 11.95 dropped through VWAP - similar to my VWAP Break and Go - but didn’t wait for 2nd confirmation on drop. AAL (1) - Short - Technical Breakdown - (lvl 2, bid dropping at 11.8) Bid dropped and rebid, but tried to push 11.90 and couldn’t - added to position against 90. Improvement: Looking back at it, over extended on the 5, bouncing off previous day low, bid dropped and rebid - potential for long off that level. Was supposed to stop trading for day. Ended up trading and taking 2 more losses....listen to your gut. AAL (2) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop / Technical Breakdown Saw huge Bid at 11.6 getting taken out, and cross of 9 and 20MA's below the 50. Thinking we could see some nice continuation. Not liking SPY coming back up here and offers are getting lifted. Stopped out, and then tried again as we rejected 50MA thinking we could fall through and retest lows - stopped out again…. Improvement: Poor trading. The right trade would have been see what happens at 65 level - also coming into daily level support at 11.54 - why short into it? AAL (3) - Long - 1min and 5 min - Other Not planned, didn’t have an eye on it, looked at screens quickly and ended up taking a position on it as it is pulling back info VWAP, stop just below the 12.05 level (big bid) expecting to hold VWAP, 12 level, and previous resistance turning into support. Improvement: Idea was right, bounced off the previous resistance held as support. The big bid at 11.95 held - perfect entry on retest of 12.05 at 1:52, about 6c risk…5R if I was patience and waited for the sign… Trade Review Terrible night sleep, didn’t do market prep and wasn't going to trade. Came in to turn on platform to record lvl 2 to study for later. Didn’t end up walking away as planned. Thought I could read level 2 and ended up taking a couple of poor plays. At this point, I am truly falling into majority of traders (95%) as I am buying the top, and selling the bottom. No one said it would be easy. But getting knocked down more and more these days is tough.....battle through, live to fight another day. Hard work will pay off soon, it will. One thing I am excited about is started recording level 2, will be replaying this whole week and trading SIM in ToS to speed up learning curve! Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 5/5 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 4/5
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Day 66 - April 13, 2020 42 Tickets 4 Symbols Max Loss + some Watchlist & Game Plan: CCL Long If CCL pushes up to PDC at 12.4 and buyer holds, look to get long above VWAP into 12.95. If It comes down and bounces off 11.1 look for a buyer to come in for a reversal It pushes through 12.95, and consolidated above that level look for a push into 13.7 Short If it moves up to 12.4 PDC look for a rejection, seller stepping in and Mov Avg to turn. If break down hard to 11.1 and holds below, look for a short off a consolidation If comes up to 12.95/13.75 look for a double top, confirmation and short the backside. DAL Long If DAL break through 25.6, consolidated above that level and buyers step up look for a long into 27 If break down to 23.3-23.6 look for a double bottom to confirm and then long If it comes down to PDC and holds, look for a VWAP play as it comes back to the upside Short If pops up to 25.6 and rejectis, looks for a double top risking off the highs If comes down to PDC and cant hold, look for VWAP play Trades CCL (1) - Short - Level 2 - Bids Dropping / Asks stacking Was watching Level 2, although I wanted to take CCL Long - the bids were just getting hammered at 11-11.10 all the way down, with huge asks piling up. Didn’t follow my plan, had the right idea for the long bounce off support. Got stuck watching Lvl 2 and I am still terrible at it….. DAL (1) - Long - 1min - Reversal (Double Bottom ish?) Not a big dan think I took this too early, shuold be waiting for the retest of 22 again. Ended up getting in as it heald on the 1 min, and looking to reverse back up. Taking partial off into previus level. The rest into VWAP +. CCL (2) - Long -VWAP Break and Go Broke through, came back down, broke again and then consolidated (not a great sign here?) Took partial off as I didn’t like the doji wicks to the downside.. Took partial off and then was going to leave a stop in - but accidently coverver the rest. Which ended up saving me a bit CCL (3) - Short - 1min - VWAP Bounce and Reject Was waiting for it to come back to VWAP and reject. Took it as soon as the 1 min rejection and came back - not a solid entry, had tight stop on break of that high. Took it again and got stopped out again. Mandatory break - 30 mins. CCL (4) - Short - 1 min Failed Pop - MA Cross about to happen as it looked like rejected Mas and broke below 50MA as resistance. And again same play….getting crushed with these super tight plays - need to provide some more room. I am am max loss after this just trying to chase the top….brutal - no reason to be going this strong as I am not even looking at level 2. Volume by price is showing point of control right at that level of 11.27 where I am shorting…. SPY is turning over, might see some follow through here. Took some off as volume on 11.27 was way too much. This level is strong Done for the morning after this. Don’t think I should be trading today/ tomorrow. Way to many rules broken, not seeing things clearly and just all over the place. Got way to attached on CCL, started off okay with a few minor losses. Then got obsessed with the Idea that CCL has to go lower and kep shorting pops and rejections off VWAP. WORX (1) - Long - 1min Technical Breakout Took it with stop just below previous consolidation - took partials pretty quick as its not in my game plan and this thing can move quick. DAL (2) - Long - 1min - VWAP Break and Go Took DAL on VWAP break on go, second time around. SPY pushing higher thinking we could see follow through on DAL as well. Option was DAL or SPY for the VWAP break…took DAL ended up being he wrong one. WORX (2) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout Strong stock, thinking it could run - took is as it curled higher and broke MA's. Stop was too tight - play was right. DAL (3) - Short - 1 min - Failed Pop Watching DAL, rejected off 50MA and broke back down, took it as it broke through 9 and 20, decent entry - covered partial into previous level - planned. Added more size on next failed DOJI and rejection of 50MA and took full size off as it broke through. DAL (4) - Long - 1 min - VWAP Break and Go SPY pushing up thinking this will follow Final stop loss was poorly placed, right at previous high……could have gotten a nice bump back up. Clearly not paying attention much.. SPY - Short - 1min - Failed Pop Just over trading at this point. Took this on a failed pop rejection of VWAP and as it broke down. Liking the MA's as overhead resistance but forcing trades. DAL (5) - Short - 1min - Other Not even sure what I was going for here. Saw SPY drop hard and just blindly shorted this thinking we would reject. Hoping….stopped out, then re-shorted hoping again……. Trade Review Worst day of trading, jumping in and out aimlessly, obsessing over a trade and trying to forcing trades, breaking every rule possible, made up a game plan If/Than statements and not following it at all…… Feel like a broken record going over the same shit again and again, and just not being able to pull through. Also forgot to turn Max Loss back on (was testing stop hotkeys on day off) and ended up going over max loss. Max Loss Rule = Not trading tomorrow Really having trouble controlling myself and trading all day. Will be trying to figure out a way to figure this out. Making a trading checklist before every entry? Posting trading as I take them? Trading only first and last hour? Max trades per day? Stop over complicating. Keep it simple. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 12/12 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 9/12
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Day 65 - April 9, 2020 35 Tickets 6 Symbols Break Even Watchlist & Game Plan: DIS Game Plan Long If DIS drops to S! at 105, look for double bottom, rounding and go long up to 108 If break through 108, watch for the retest to go long Short If DIS fails to break 109 and if SPY is turning over, look for a short double top DIS (1) - Short - VWAP Rejection Initially thinking Long on DIS as good catalyst - but took the short after it rejection 2 off VWAP and came back down. SPY also had a top wick which looked bearish but breaking out - took the position off as SPY was breaking to highs. I think this is a good take off - shouldn’t be in there to premature SQ (1) - Long - 1min Double Bottom (Reversal, -1 Adjusted Stop) Took SQ as it looked like double bottom, slowing selling volume. SPY looks like its turning higher so could see this move back up, stopped out. Realized I didn’t have stop placed in proper location so got in again with stop just below 59.1 level daily level, took partial into the spike and then Added as it looked like it held and looking to push higher. Stopped out partial on break, and the rest below previous candle low below 60. SPY also looks like its trying to break. Adjusted stop to low of previous candle Improvement: Need to wait for the doble bottom to hit that 59.10 level and confirm the hold. Getting in to early. Could possibly test it once off that major level, if it doesn’t work then wait for the 59.1 to test and confirm the hold. RCL - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go (Technical Breakdown?) Short after the failed bounce through VWAOP, tight stop - this is a classic VWAP break and go but SPY coming up again - will get stopped out probably…. 5min was losing weakness on the selling and showed people were buying the bounce off VWAP - poor play. DIS (2) - Short - Failed Pop Was watching DIS off the 105.35 level as a major level, was hugging around there, but finally rejected so I took it on the short on confirmation. Covered partial into previous level (planned) and then another partial as it came back up (unplanned) no reason to cover here, hold this and let it work in your favor. Final partial was as it was coming back to previous level, wasn’t a fan of how it was trading so I took it off..as soon as I did it broke 30c right to my target before ei adjusted, thought I covered right into the huge drop… Improvement: No need to be covering on the way back up. Took partial off, let the rest either stop me out or get to my target. CCL (1) - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go CCL was respecting VWAP, held the first time closed above, then broke through and tried to come back up - took it on the double doji wick rejection off the VWAP - risking high of previous candle. Got nice share amount as stop was tight, partialed a little to early, then again into previous level. Plan was to hold the rest until MA, but took some more off right before the big move down (should be covering into the big drop) and then got squeezed hard and top ticked my stop loss with slippage. Good: Solid entry, waited for confirmation of rejection, and had a tight stop which allowed for more shares. Wasn’t supposed to trade anymore…closed my platform, then reopened to check my previous trades thinking to send to AIMAN for review. Ended up getting in 2 more trades back to back on FOMO…. DIS (3) - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go (Technical Breakout, -1 Adjusted Stop) Think it was a good entry, but adjusted stop as I thought I chased, and the hard rejection candle. Spy making highs to I thought we could break and go Improvement: Shouldn’t have taken this trade as I was supposed to step away from screens, was trading on tilt. SQ (2)- Long - 1min - Technical Breakout Similar thing to DIS - SPY was breaking out of previous level, took it as it rounded off and held the consolidation support. Stop is pretty tight just below consolidation, with target at VWAP+. Couldn’t break through previous resistance, and broke down stopping me out. Improvement: Shouldn’t have taken this trade as I was supposed to step away from screens, was trading on tilt. ZM - Short - 1min - Reversal (Failed Pop) Was waiting for ZM to make a double top. Came close to it but didn’t quite get all the way to previous level so I short as the MA's crossed the 50 and it broke down. SPY also breaking down. Quick flush of ZM into my first target, then sold some more as it tested same level adjusting stop to Breakeven and target at around 121.7…just about got it (missed by 3c) and came back up. Thinking off adding if it comes back to my previous entry but instead covered full. Good: Good entry here with patience, waiting for that the break of consolidation and letting the Mas confirm. Improvement: Got greedy here caused by poor trade management. Goal is T1 to be 1.5R, T2 2R and let rest ride. Took profits too early which made me feel like I needed to ride out the rest, missing out on 2.8R on the final partial. SPY - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown (-2 Position Sizing, No defined risk/target) SPY Coming down to LOD, wanted to see how it would act around here and didn’t just want to short without risk. Broke below, held for 1 min, then broke again - took it as it broke the 1min, with stop above the 277 level. Covered quick into drop as it seemed a little extended moving into the 200MA on the 5. No exact plan to exit here - probably should have taken all off into this support. Ende dup leaving on partial and waiting for a floating stop around MA. Improvement: Did not use risk hotkey, did not have an exit plan setup - this can not be happening. CCL (2) - Long - 1min and 5min - Climactic Reversal VVL got hit hard and was seemed to extended on the 5 and saw major volume coming into previous day close (exhaustion volume?), held the PDC and ended up getting a little late on the reversal with tight stop. Stop was tight which allowed me to get more shares, panicked on share size and covered into first spike to lighten up (no reason to cover). Covered again into 5MAs on the 5and 1 min. Final partial got greedy - wanted to sell into spike for 200MA on the 5min but didn’t end up doing it….covered into the close. Good: Noticing daily levels a lot more and the impact they have on intraday levels. Improvement: Got in a little late here. No exit strategy - panicked again and sold too soon - could of have a nice 3R winners, rather I ended up with small win because of premature exits. Trade Review Overall it was an ok day, realized I traded a lot - but felt a lot more of my style…out of trades quick if they don’t go my way, taking a little more trades than usual to get the feel of it. Maybe having a rule where I take 50% at 1.5, 50% at 2R or something…revisit my exit strategies for past week/2 weeks. What happens if I go 100% in and 100% out at 1R? 1.5R? 2R? What If I did 50% at 1R and 50 at 2R? Once again - when I think its time to stop. STOP AND TAKE A BREATHER - didn't follow my recent rule and got burnt on 2 plays back to back. RULE: - Mandatory 20-30 min break once I notice I am on tilt. (Upload prior trades to Tradervue, 10 minute meditation, water, come back and review the trades) Also - will be looking into Level 2. Chart pattenrs provide a good idea, but feel like im missing the large order flow and the big move alot of the times, or end up getting in way to late for a poor R/R. Will be diving in deep on books, onlien resources as well as my video recordings. Would love to hear other resources others have used and has helped them! Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 9/10 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 6/10
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Thanks Mark - Learning a little more and more everyday. Noon said it was going to be easy, just have to trust the process.
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Day 64 - April 8, 2020 25 Tickets 3 Symbol Red Day Watchlist & Game Plan: PINS Game Plan Long If it drops to 16 and holds, look for a long as this is a daily level this could hold target back at 17+ If this moves up right at the open, watch 17.16, buy on break through and hold above If sees a major drop through 16 S1 down to 15S2 (PDC) look for a long reversal off double bottom Short If drops through 16, tried to retest and below VWAP, short down to S2 at 15 If retests 17 couple times and making lower highs, look for double top LEVI Game Plan Long If it breaks through 12.56 look for a retest and long on it holding If drops down to PDC at 12, look for a long reversal into 12.6 If drops to straight through 12 no testing, look for a long reversal from 11.58 PINS (1) - Long - Reversal (x2) Had a few ideas on PINS, was long biased. Game plan was to buy long on 16 if it held. Got a little to excited (also not in my setups) and got in as soon as 16 confirmed initial bounce. Entry was poor, and my stop was even worse 16.02? Didn’t even put it under 16 round level. Stopped out, then continuing trying to catch the knife, bought as it held 16 again, revenge trading as I didn’t want to miss the move up after getting stopped out. Took partial off right away as realized I needed to wait for confirmation. Stopped out with the rest….. Improvement: Need to do more research on this setup, idea wasn’t completely wrong, just didn’t have a process for entry confirmation - got in way to early. Proper entry here is 10:10 once double bottom confirms and bounces back - bullish. PINS (2) - Long - 1min and 5 min - VWAP Break and Go Idea played out, but didn’t get an entry…ended up waiting for the test and hold of VWAP, taking it long as it helf both VWAP and MA's. Hot keyed the entry, but shot up and got top tick poor fill. Came back down and tested VWAP, this would be ideal entry. Spiked up and I realized there was a MA there so took off 1/4, kept moving up and took another partial off too soon, left final one to ride missed my target by 2cents and came back down to stop me out. Improvement: Could look to add size after the first partial, held the MA and was making a higher consolidation, could be adding it back on and selling back into the size. RCL - Short - 1min - Failed Pop (x3, -1 Adjusted Stop) Was waiting for RCL to hit a double top, but missed the tnry as it didn’t come up all the way. Ended up taking it as a failed pop back into MA's with tight stop, too early no confirmation. Took it again as it roled out, and started falling through MA's - covered too quick, and then again into previous level. Hit 2R but didn’t cover. Stopped out on bounce and hold through MA's, Tried it one more time on the next break down through MA's partialed too easy and then stopped out. Improvements: Trying too hard to force a trade here. Need to be looking on the 5 min - showing no weakness, getting bought back up and closing towards top of candle. Buyer was in tact. RCL (2) - Short - 1min and 5 min - Head and shoulder (-1 Adjusted Stop to Breakeven) Watching CCL, SPY and AAL all looking like they were t hitting a high, ended up taking RCL as it looked like it rejected off a head on shoulder and a bearish doji wicking to the top which is bearish. Didn’t hit my target, but bounced off MA, covered on the next drop into same level in case of a hold. Partiailed to early, and adjusted stop to breakeven. 12:06 Note - market has way to much buying coming in…need to wait for backside. Notice I'm biased short right now and trying to force a position on the short side. Need to wait for confirmation AAL - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown (chasing, -1 Adjusted stop) Saw it as it consolidated and rejected but didn’t take it..ended up getting in as it broke down chasing…took partials into previous level and another partial as the bid at 11.15 kep refreshing and stepping up..adjusted the rest to stop above previous high. Improvement: Had no deal being in this as Buying was strong on the 5min, and holding above consolidate are from where it broke out. No major signs of weakness, signs of strength on increase in buying. Good opportunity for a long. Todays Review Overall was an okay day…still haven't put together a solid play. Feels like I am close to getting there, but then taking plays that aren't in my setup…then get trigger shy to take the setups that are there. Also not happy about my changing of orders, cheated myself and turned on drag order to change and have moved it MANY timed. Even though I know I shouldn’t. Back to turning that option off, need the computer to restrict me and help my self control… Now that I am sticking to just 2-4 stocks, think I will get caught trying to test the same idea 2-3 times. Be careful with this. Wait for confirmation, get it…if goes your way and offers another chance look for another. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 8/8 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 5/8
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Day 63 - April 7, 2020 16 Tickets 4 Symbol Red Day Watchlist & Game Plan: AAL Game Plan Long If drops at open and hold VWAP, look for a long on VWAP bounce If drops to PML 10, watch for double bottom and take it as it looks to break out If opens up right away at break 11.1, watch the retest of 11.1 for a breakout pullback risking that level Short If opens up and goes to test 11.1 but doesn’t make it all the way, look to short the double top If opens weak and drops below VWAP look to short as a VWAP break and Go down to 10. RCL Game Plan - Inflection 35.5 Long If opens up and breaks 35.92 and hold that level look to go long on momentum pullback If drops into VWAP but overall market is strong, look to go long on VWAP bounce and reject Short If opens up and goes to test 35.92 but rejects look for a double top If opens down, holds VWAP and comes to test 35.5 reject look to short If comes down through VWAP and holds under, look for a short down to 33 level AAL - Short - VWAP Break and Go (anticipation, -1 Adjusted Stop) Shot up through PMH into R1, rejected and came down through VWAP. Game plan was to wait for retest of VWAP, and break for the 2nd time - ended up taking it in anticipation and got stopped out above previous candle high. Improvement: Didn’t follow game plan, no confirmation on 2nd break of VWAP, 5min too choppy no clear signals. Discipline control here - wait for my entry signal (especially at market open) RCL - Short - 1min - Double Top RCL up at open then came back down to test breakout level. Held nicely and started coming back up. Ended up going straight to R2. Looking a little over extended, waiting for the double top - put in a shooting star doji and failed to make a new high so I took it short (little late on the entry) and took it down. Took partials WAY to quick…and then let the rest ride into VWAP which was planned. Good: Patience was solid on this, waiting for double top, however, I should get in as soon as it break 1 min previous candle after failed move up - could have gotten more size based on risk. Improvement: Need to configure my exits for the double top - first entry was WAY to early… SPY (1) - Short - VWAP bounce and reject (-1 Adjusted stop) SPY had a strong pus up back to VWAP and started consolidating. 1min tested over, held and then looked like a minor double top, broke down and then tried to retest but rejected hard. Took it on the drop after rejection on the 1 Tried to place hotkey targets, but took partial off accidently luckily. Looked at the 5min and it was a normal pullback. Due to error, it allowed me some more space, so I adjusted stop above round number of 272. Improvement: Need to be using multiple time frames to make this decision. NO ADJUSTING STOPS….luckily I covered partial which allowed me to move stop as I made some profits to cover 1R loss but this is terrible habit. Stepping away from trading - noticed I was getting a little trigger happy, nothing thinking straight. 10 minutes later…… CCL (1) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Chasing, not on main watchlist, -1 Adjusted stop) CCL making its way through VWAP and breaking through PMH, took it as it broke and made a new recent high, took it close to the top which is against my rules. Realized I was on tilt and shuoldnt have taken it so I took off half….. And adjusted stop to VWAP, got stopped out. Good: Realized I shouldn’t be in this and took of partial Improvement: Many things wrong here which all point to this trade shouldn't have been taken at all. Knew I was on tilt, needed to step away but came back to early and went straight into action Adjusted stop Chasing Not in my watchlist - focus on your top 2-4 and forget about the rest. CCL (2) - Short - VWAP Bounce and Reject Got stopped out of CCL and watched it bounce off VWAP, but make lower high, then continued down. Looking weak. Ended up waiting for another failed bounce through VWAP and took it as it wicked down and couldn’t hold above. Stop was pretty tight, ended up getting stop hunted and having my stop loss cover at the top tick, before it went down 5R+. Improvement: Same thing as earlier, wasn’t seeing market properly, rather then stopping and coming back later in day I continued to force trades and took 2 losses I shouldn’t have. SPY - Short - 1min - Failed pop (Scalp into the close) SPY showing extreme volatility heading into the close, tried to bounce of LOD but failed, took it as the attempt to push higher on the 1 min, failed and broke down. Partialed into previous level and then again into close at profit target just above Previous day close. Trade Review Trying out a new watchlist - 2-4 stock max, and coming up with IF/THAN statements for each. I have had troubles focusing on the bigger picture, and notice I am getting caught in action from tick to tick. This will help me step back, and force me to look at multiple time frames to see the bigger picture. I have noticed a couple times lately where I note that I should be stepping away, catch myself briefly and then get back into it. Good thing I am able to notice this…but my poor self control takes over and I continue trading…this has happened couple of times and looking back I have taken a couple of quick losses right away. "Very important trait GREAT traders have in common is the ability to step away when they know they are on tilt" NEW RULE: - Mandatory 20-30 min break once I notice I am on tilt. (Upload prior trades to Tradervue, 10 minute meditation, water, come back and review the trades) Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 6/6 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 3/6
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Day 62 - April 6, 2020 4 Tickets 1 Symbol Green Day Watchlist: AAL - Long - 1min - VWAP Break and Go Had DAL on watchlist and saw it forming higher highs and lows coming through VWAP. Ended up switching over and taking AAL instead for some reason. Looked like a double bottom has formed and made its way through VWAP, came back down held, took it on the second break with stop just below (tight). Took partial off at previous spike (planned) but adjusted my 2nd order and took it off to early. Took the final partial off as we approached HOD. Good: Good patience on waiting for it to come back down and confirm. Improvement: Held VWAP after my first partial, could have added. Also Need to be leaving my final partial to ride and let it break 1min. On way down. Would have gotten 20c better fill on first break of 1min. Trade Review Lots of opportunities today, but I didn't like the price action. Really trying to focus in and be a sniper, vs a machine guy "spray and pray" with my trades. Changes looking to implement and see how they impact my trading - 4 Symbols max per day - Thinking of doing a max trades per day (5/6) - Adding more time frames into my decision making process (1 min and 5 min are nice, but I am losing track of the bigger picture) Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 1/1 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 1/1
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Day 61 - April 3, 2020 17 Tickets 3 Symbols Red Day Watchlist: Poor preparation, didn't have my levels mapped out for the plays that I wanted.... TWTR(1) - Long - 1 min - VWAP Bounce and Go TWTR dropped and bounced nicely from previous day level, came up and tested pre market levels. Took it long as it held VWAP and looked to move higher. Tight stop just below VWAP and previous candle. Quickly retraced on the 1 min, and took me out. Improvement: Need to do better research and finding levels. 23.55 was a major levels (previous day high, and acted as support the day prior. Missed the opportunity first minute (although trading first 5 min is not in my game plan) SPY (1) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop (247.61) Was waiting for spy to come back into 50MA, and took it off the rejection, stop just above previous candle. Took partials at 1.25R, took another one off as I didn’t like the 5min volume increasing and final got stopped out. Good: I like the patience waiting for this as I had the urge to take it previous failed pop. Although not a big winner - followed my plan. Improvement: Should have realized there was a change in character, volume came in larger then on previous pops. SPY - Short - 1min - Failed pop Took SPY as it broke through consolidation range and popped back up, thinking we would reject MAs and continue to LOD. Tight stop above previous candle high. TWTR (2) - Long - 1min and 5 min - Technical Breakout (Ascending Triangle) TWTR setting up for a breakout from its range, with volume coming in. Making higher highs and pushing right up against range resistance, took it on the breakout thinking we would retest VWAP. Didn’t leave myself much time as I was chasing into the close. Improvement: Could be cutting this a little quicker as it didn’t work out - expecting a momentum break that works right away. Also could have bought on the dip into MA's rather than waiting for the break which faked me out. Not a great R/R and time was against me.. CCL - Long - 1min and 5 min - Technical Breakout (Range) ( -1 No defined profit target - otherwise you shouldbt be taking this trade..poor R/R) CCL was making a range at 8.6 and 8.45, ended up taking it as it broke the range and held. Covered half just under breakeven as I didn’t like price action and realized I was chasing again…other half was taken out at stop loss below MA's. Improvement: Shouldn’t be in this play - chasing the high right at the close, into resistance.. SPY - Short / Long Flip - 1min - Over trading + Revenge Trading ( -2 Position sizing and no defined target/risk) This one I am not happy about at all…watching SPY making lower highs 3 times but didn’t enter…ended up making a huge spike and I entered thinking we would reject and continue with lower highs (not in game plan) and got stopped out right away…made its way up to VBWAP and looked like holding so I took it as it made a new high on 1 min after consolidation. Stopped out right below VWAP Improvement: Over trading / Revenge Trading. Was hoping on both of them. Realized they weren't good plays so I took smaller size and didn’t use my risk hotkey. Noticing I am making very poor plays into the end of the day, need to be stepping away. Trade Review Same thing over and over, slowly being able t control my trading at the open - but after watching charts throughout the day seems like my mental ability to control myself drops and I jump in with a few terrible plays. CCL and TWTR both chasing the highs into the close, SPY flipped position on plays that aren't in my setups? Really have to re-focus and work on the setups that make sense to me and that are working. Past week or so I have been deviating from my plan and it has shown. Trading results and confidence both took a beating. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 5/7 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 4/7
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Day 60 - April 2, 2020 30 Tickets 5 Symbols Red Day Watchlist: ZM (1) - Short - 1min - VWAP Bounce and Reject Missed ZM on the way down, then consolidated, came up into the VWAP and seemed like it had indecision on increased selling volume, Took it short but it stopped me out for what seemed like a VWAP break and go instead. Improvement: Wait for confirmation, this was very strong, [picking up buying power and held VWAP - Decreasing selling vol on the 5, solid volume on the bounce - should be avoiding this and thinking long ZM (2) - Long - 1min - VWAP Break and GO (Chasing) As soon as I got stopped out I realized this was retesting and looking to break VWAP and go..flipped my position on the next candle breakout and took it long with stop just below VWAP - instantly stopped shook me out and then continue on to HOD as planned. Good: Was the right idea on flipping position and going long to HOD as I realized it had strength. Improvement: Terrible execution. Need to wait and fight for price. If I'm patient I can get in on next break and hold of VWAP of at 10:15 when it retest on small volume and hold MA's BE PATIENT. Better entry would have also give me a better stop. CCL - Long - Ascending Triangle (anticipation, Lvl 2) Saw the velocity of LVL 2 getting taken out on the ASK - took it in anticipation of breaking ascending triangle. Target up to previous day close, stop below VWAP. SPY coming up as well so have double confirmation. Didn’t work out, broke down. CVX - Long - Technical Breakout (News - Trump tweet, -1 Adjusted Stop) Really not quite sure what happened here. Emotions got the best of me and seemed like I placed the order without even thinking about it…… Oil up on news Trump mentioned Saudi and Russia looking to play ball. Didn’t even read or look into it much, just jumped on the first name that came to mind without even thinking about this… Improvement: This should not be taken, not even a question I shouldn't be making this play. SPY (1) - Short - 1min - Breakdown (anticipation? -1 Adjusted Stop) Lower highs, thinking we will go lower lows. 1min rejecting off the MA's 9 and 20 crossing the 50 as well. This isn't a great entry…chased and got it on the breakdown vs letting come up and getting a much better fill. Should have waited for it to come up into 250.5 and short the first candle down. Too much strength on the spy right now. Told myself I would take a break after this Break after this. Improvement: No game plan here - just shorting hoping it breakdown. Need to have a specific idea, much rather risk it at the highs for a huge reversal than once were at the lows hoping to break a bit lower. Note: What is the idea here? Taking an extended short into support - this is terrible. SPY (2) - Short - 1min - Failed Pops (3x, -1 Adjusted Stop) Short again, thinking this could be the top - but clearly looks like a flag that will push higher. No reason to be going short here. Got suckered into lower lows and lower highs. Taking off partial as we retest previous level and into VWAP then got stopped out B/E. FOMO again as I felt like I got stopped out at top and tried to go short again, adjusted to breakeven as it didn’t break right away. Final short, I made a hotkey error on profit target and covered right away for half, and the rest on stop loss. Improvement: Over trading here. 1 decent short on the first failed pop but other than that im just chasing, no reason to be stuck with this many ticket while its ranging. LK - Short - 1min and 5 min - Failed Pop Stair stepper all the way down, hit the MA's and rejected like it has in the past. Looking for this to continue down, till take partial at previous level, and hold for LOD. Was kind of wary on this as shorts could be covering into slow, but lots of selling pressure here on the way down. Another thing I didn’t like was 2 green candles in a row on the 5 (first time in hours….) SPY (3) - Short - 1m and 5min - Failed Pop and Breakdown (3x, -1 Adjusted Stop) Overtrading hard. Huge Bias on the short side, just didn’t want to admit I was wrong. Kept forcing the short, over and over. Turned out to be a 3R overall - brutal. Improvement: Need to close the position and step away as soon as I get to obsessed with an idea. Got caught twice on SPY both on upswings…. Trade Review Really not impressed with my trading.. At all. Looking back at my plays, terrible ideas, going back and forth between way too many setups, chasing action, cant stick with plan, trying trend lines and all this new stuff...NEED TO STICK WITH WHATS WORKING. Was pretty biased today which hit me hard. Don’t have a bias, as soon as you feel obsessed with an idea step away - GET THE FCK OUT OF THE HOUSE and take a breather. Notice I am having problems with just stepping away. Things that have been working lately - PLANNED PLAYS, which are thought about in pre-market. Shorting toward the top, once it turns over vs shorting at the bottom. Going long near the bottom of the breakout, vs going long at breakouts toward the top. Cutting stops at my stop loss. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 12/12 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 8/12
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Day 59 - April 1, 2020 25 Tickets 5 Symbols Green Day Watchlist: M - Short - 1 and 5min - VWAP Bounce and Reject Getting delisted from S$P thinking this could have a negative impact on M... Came down quick was watching for it to retrace. Rejected VWAP with 2 upper wicks, took it short as it broke back through with stop above previous wick. Took partials off as I was thinking we would fall right away, and another partial as we came to the descending tip - took final off on the huge volume spike. Improvement: Taking partials too quick. Put in my auto targets, but adjusted. Not exactly comfortable trading these low price stocks and don’t know how they move….. CCL (1) - Long - 1min - Double Bottom Took CCL as it carved a double bottom and made tight indecision candles after a big selloff and seeming a little extended. Took it as it broke through previous high thinking we could move back up to VWAP and HOD as these things can really move. Took a partials as we moved into VWAP and MA and took some, and adjusted the rest to break of new 5min low and previous consolidation. Note: Watching the fight on level 2, looks like sellers kept stepping down and taking out the bid. AMD - Short - 1min - Double Top (Not on Watchlist) Not on my watchlist, heard this get called out as it was rallying. Kept an eye on it as it looked over extended on the 5. Got rejected hard a couple times off the 46.5 level and couldnt break through. Took it short on the new 2min low (Parabolic Reversal), with stop above level which kept getting stuffed, SPY was looking somewhat weak as well. ADJUSTED and took partial off once it came down to break even - too much strength, trading ab-normally compared to SPY on a regular day…… Improvement: This isn't one of my setups but I like these reversals - trying something new out. Should do more research on this before implementing. UBER - Long - 1min - VWAP Break and Go (stop 28.09) Had UBER on watchlist watching the 25.5 level as it has been a strong support for past 4/5 trading days. Has come right down to it first hour and then back to HOD…thought same might happen here. Has strength coming off the Double bottom, and paused briefly as VWAP. Took it long as it broke through and continued. Improvement: Need to watch my stocks on my watchlist….Missed the double bottom play here - as I got excited and played AMD after it got called out in chat..Stop watching tick by tick and chasing action vs letting the plays come to me. Hotkey Mistake.. CCL (2) - Long - 1min - Reversal (Fake Breakdown) 13 c risk Haven't really played this setup before….but saw the HUGE bids piling up and get taken out at 10.65 on the descending triangle, looked like a huge fake out on the breakdown with lots of volume done and then coming right back up on strong volume so took it long (chased and cought the top) got stopped out and then watching same pattern for reversal. Took it as it made a new 1min high off the 10.5 hold on Lvl 2 (Huge bid) and sold partials into previous levels and on the way back as it broke through consolidation. Good: Entry was much better on the second play, right out of the break, rather than chasing. Improvement: Chasing this hard on the first one..need to catch the new 1min high, vs buying the top. DO MORE RESEARCH on these reversals. Aslo cant have a bias going into these - was heavily biased on CCL. SPY - Short - 1min - Failed Pop SPY hard rejection of VWAP and started coming down, consolidated but making lower lows and lower highs. Took it short as it rejection MA's and made a new low after the bearish doji. Went my way but I panicked and covered half……instantly dropped and took another partial off, adjusted my stop to break even and got stopped out right before the 3-4$ drop…. Good: Had the right idea Improvement: Terrible trade management, got scared out of my position and covered quickly…then adjusted my stop and got top ticked right before the major move down. Trade Review Happy about my risk management today, for the most part is was very defined and stops were decently thought out. Adjusted my stop after taking partials and got stopped out. Which seems to be an alright strategy in order not to give back profits, however losing out on a lot of profits as the play could still be intact. Noticing I am still adjusting my profit targets a little too much. Need to place them and let the idea play out. This cutting half of the trade is a weird thing I am doing. Panicked and cut half on AMD and did the same on SPY…..if I made a wrong play I should be getting out full position and re-assessing, vs getting out for half and hoping. Been trying to incorporate Parabolic Reversals as I really like this play, but NEED TO STICK TO MY SETUPS until I do research, and incorporate them into my playbook. Questions to ask before jumping in: -What is the bigger picture? What is going on here? -Is this an A+ Setup? -Is this the best entry I can get, if not be patient and let the price come to me. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 6/6 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 5/6
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Day 58 - March 31, 2020 23 Tickets 5 Symbols Red Day Watchlist: AAL - Short - 1min and 5 min - Failed Pop (-1 Adjusted stop) DID NOT FOLLOW MY MORNING GAME PLAN Was watching AAL wanted to short the previous breakdown but too extended. Waited for consolidation with MA's Tightening, Took it short as I saw the asks pile up at 12.38 and seemed like seller was stepping down. Stop just above previous high - got stopped out. Looking at it after - clear double bottom, why am I shorting this? Improvement: Making a watchlist with a game plan, and completely ignored it (Long at 12.2). Need to be stepping back and thinking about this. AAL has potential positive news, sold off hard into premarket level, and previous day close and consolidating. ABT (1) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Ascending triangle with VWAP as support) ABT was holding just under VWAP making a tight range and holding above MA's, took it long as we started to get some volume coming into the breakout with stop just below consolidation. 1st Target hit, and adjusted my 2nd stop (2R) as I didn’t like the rejected of MA. Left the rest ride and got stopped out ad my stop loss, below MA and VWAP. Good: Had the right idea for a scalp Improvement: This could be a quick take profit and let 1/2 ride as its momentum. SPY (1) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop (Sub: Double Top) Watching SPY reject off the 263 level, looking for the double top. Finally started to make lower highs and lower lows with MA's tightening. Ended up taking it short as it rejected 9,20 and 50MA thinking we could test VWAP and potentially end closer to LOD. Absolutely terrible trade management, and got hunted on my stop loss..got top tick and missed the whole move. Improvement: Need to have a better game plan here - trade management was brutal. Covering for no reason multiple times? Why am I so scared.. SPY (2) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop (-1 Adjusted Stop) Top ticked on my stop loss right before the big drop and Avoided chasing SPY all the way down, was thinking to ad the VWAP but thought we would see a bounce into Previous day close. Then ended up getting in at the very bottom - figures…Very poor control. Adjusted my stop as realized how stupid this was. Change or character as buying came in. Still short biased - but looking for a test into VWAP. Adjusting stop was actually a good idea here as this was a terrible entry. Improvement: Poor self control, waited all the way down and then FOMO'd at the bottom. Too extended from 5min and 1min - wait for them to curl up, tighten up and then break for a much higher probability play. ABT (2) - Short - 1min and 5 min - Failed Pop (extended on the 5) Lots of selling into previous day close, looking like we might have a dead cat bounce and make its way to yesterdays LOD with stop above previous consolidation. Ended up being an absolute chop fest, scaled out slowly and just took off at the end as Looks like it was turning up potentially. CCL short - 1min and 5 min - Failed Pop Sold off hard with rest of market and found support at previous day resistance. Was waiting for it to consolidate, took it short as it rejected the 50M and broke down through the 9 and 20. Stop just above previous candle and target at previous support. Ended up getting in to early and got stopped out. Good: Tight stops Opportunity: Great opportunity to re-short here after getting rejected by the 200 and making a double top on the 1min., also kept trying to push higher but couldn’t close up. Perfect breakdown, brining it down to my target. SPY - Short - 1min and 5 min - Failed Pop SPY was moving back up off the bounce, thinking we could see a further move down as selling volume coming in was pretty heavy. Took it short as it couldn’t get through 20MA on 5, and looks like couldn’t get through MA's on 1, short as it failed to make new high and broke down. Started taking partial pretty quick as there wasn’t much time, ended up getting out on drop and stopped out on the big wick up. Good: Tight stop and quick partials Trade Review: Feeling a little more confident, but still making the same mistakes. 95% of the day I am in control, no FOMO, waiting for the setups to come to me, then the other 5% I seem to absolutely lose it and it costs me...Another thing I notice is I am making a pretty good watchlist with a simple game plan, but completely skips my mind once the market opens. Notice I'm just watching charts and getting lost in the tick to tick action vs stepping back, looking at the bigger picture. Questions to ask before jumping in: -What is the bigger picture? What is going on here? -Is this an A+ Setup? -Is this the best entry I can get, if not be patient and let the price come to me. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 7/7 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 5/7
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Day 57 - March 30, 2020 30 Tickets 5 Symbols Red Day Watchlist: CCL (1) - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown (In front of 12 break) CCL halted - didn’t want to push up after it opened - rejected off MA and started coming back down. Huge wall of bids at 12 - took it short in front of the wall, looking to break down. Realized it was extended but still took it. Improvement: Need to be taking profits on these breakdowns, especially when they are this extended. ABT (1) - Short - 1min - Breakdown (1min didn’t look at the 5 - extended) ABT gapped dup and selling off into the open. Opened up and continued to sell hard, broke through VWAP and made its way through premarket low. Had the Idea to short the break, but hesitated and ended up shorting on the drop after that. Too extended from VWAP and MA's, realized that after the fact and got out for half - should have taken full off - not a great play here. Improvement: Over extended here, not great for R/R - not a great area to define risk off of. Need to be making decision based on 1 and the 5, didn’t look at 5 until after entry (wtf?) NCLH - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown (Descending Triangle, sub: VWAP Bounce and Reject) NCLH short on the breakdown on descending triangle, entry was the break of consolidation after getting rejected by VWAP and the MA's - stop right above previous candle. Once again 5 min candle is losing selling power. NCLH is the weaker one of the cruise lines - look for continuation. Small move down for a breakout and then squeezed hard to HOD. Good: Happy with keeping my stop tight. Overall I am ok with this trade as I followed my game plan. Thinking to implement a mandatory break (30mins?) after taking 3 losses in a row. SPY (1) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout SPY strong after testing previous cay close, making nice higher high higher low. Ended up taking it after it broke through previous high, and then continued up catching the top tick and got stopped out on a tight stop below previous consolidation. Improvement: Not happy with this entry, chasing this hard. Need to wait for consolidation to break of previous consolidation on 5 rather than 1. ABT (2) - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown Watching ANT reject 81 level and cant get passed it, making a lower high. Was about to enter just waiting for break of MA, and then got a huge red candle down - missed entry was a little choked. Waited for it to consolidate for a bit in order to get a level to risk off - indecision candle. Took it as it broke down through previous candle low, with stop just above. Short into support of premarket - once again not a great way to short. Stops are a lot tighter - but this is a bull catalyst. Improvement: Have to be cognisant of levels, shorting this right into premarket support. If you miss the setup, move on - don’t chase the drop that hard - WAIT FOR ANOTHER SETUP. CCL (2) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop Took CCL short after it failed to break through MA's and broke down - took it at the new 1 min low, stop above previous candle. Was hesitant taking this one as I took it while it was coming up rather then already breaking down (Much better R/R this way). Good: Entry was nice right at first candle confirmation of rejection of MA and break of 1 min low. Harder to get in up here Improvement: No need to panic and exit on 3rd and 4th exit - exact same setup as my entry - coming into the MA. Learning Note: Saw LVL 2 seller stepping down every few cents with large size, driving price lower - need to do more work and studying on LVL2 as it looks very bullish after reviewing video. CCL (3) - Short - 1 and 5 min - VWAP Break and Go CCL working how I thought - after I got stopped out. Came through previous low, and VWAP hovering just around there. Looking at RCl and NCLH - looks like they have made a bottom - not good. And these things have potential to squeeze… Improvement: Buying to close to the breakdown - notice how the one that I did earlier worked out because I bought the top of the failed pop SPY (2) - Short - 1 and 5 min - Double Top Noticed I was overtrading before this trade, but kept trading….SPY looks like it kept rejecting 260 on the dot and initially was thinking to buy the breakout but couldn’t break through. Took it at a 3rd rejection with the thought that this could be the top and we could see it come down and test previous low at that support. Was wrong pretty quickly as it held the MA and bounced right through, and I filliped positions. Improvement: Should not be trading this when I feel like I am over trading. Careful going short in such a strong market - SPY going up on bad news after bad news…… SPY (3) - Long - 1min and 5min - Technical Breakout (-2 = No Risk Calc, No stop placed) Flipped my position on the breakout as my initial idea seemed right - breakout and rally on this strength and volume. With stop at the same level below that 260 breakout level. Ended up adding to this position and adjusting my stop as I manually exited. Improvement: I would be fine with trading the breakout, but not flipping from one to the other - just seems like I'm chasing the action. Also broke rule with No risk calc, and no stop placed (-2) ZM - Short - 1min - Failed pop ZM was on secondary watchlist - just scrolling through watchlist looking for some action - this is BAD. Noticed huge sell of on ZM, and saw it drop green to red and retest - ended up shorting on the failed pop with a tight stop above previous wick high and into 20MA. Improvement: Shouldn’t be shorting this right after the drop - need to wait for it to come up a bit, retrace back to MA's and reject. Clear sign as soon as MA crossed around 2:35. DON’T BE SO TRIGGER HAPPY - wait and ask, where are we trading now and where did we come from - how did we get there? SPY (4) - Short - 1min - Double Top Tried catching SPU on a double top earlier but no luck, was still thinking we would sell off into the close like we have last couple of days. Saw the double top forming, and a lower high. Took it on the break of previous candle close confirming the double top. Worked out in my favour instantly - taking covers into. Levels where price previously held into target at 260 which is a daily level. Left partial on was thinking to leave for rest of day but move felt extended so I covered the rest. Good: Way to stick with my idea of sell into close but waiting for the right opportunity. Good entry with a tight and defined risk. Trade Review: Notice I am taking trades based off MA and VWAP - but not looking at 5 min or LVL2 enough - need to incorporate this into my trades. Also not being selective with my entries - jumping all over the place..and chasing breakouts - I have never been a good breakout trader, why am I doing this? (first 5 trades were all breakout/breakdown) -Noticed that on both of my wins, I was somewhat uncomfortable as they were taken close to the level of breakout vs after the breakout. Pushing up into MA's but made a lower high and rejected nicely. -Losses I was shorting when it was over extended (missed the breakout) I need to be taking the play when MA's are tight together and consolidating, tight stop and easy to get a big R/R Couple of the trades looked identical (NCLH and ABT2 - took out consolidation and came back up.) Questions to ask before jumping in: -Where is the price now vs levels of support and resistance? -Where did the price come from? -How did the price get here? Is it extended and turning parabolic or controlled and consolidating? -Is the risk defined? Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 10/11 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 10/11
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Day 56 - March 26, 2020 25 Tickets 5 Symbols Red Day (Max Loss) Watchlist: F - Short - 1min - Breakdown? (Chasing) Was trying to hold Previous day close but broke throuhg on large volume. Expecting this to follow through as SPY seemed like it was potentially topping. Got in way too late, right into averages as support. Made a double bottom but I didn’t take the chance to exit - instead waited for top tick. Brutal. Improvement: No entry signal here, and shorting into a lot of support. Stop was wide as well. This is not a trade I should be taking. DAL - Short - 1min - VWAP Bounce and Reject Took DAL on the rejection of VWAP - target is previous day close. Didn’t wait for confirmation here - would be better to wait for 2nd rejection. Was also watching AAL which seemed quite a bit weaker than DAL. Got stopped out above previous close (After thought - maybe too early for VWAP rejection to work in first 20? WORK - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Ascending Triangle) Had WORK as long bias on my watchlist, was making a nice run at open then consolidated into a ascending triangle. Saw SPY moving up so took WORK as it broke out for a planned scalp through 29.2 resistance. Went in again for a quick scalp, didn’t go right away even though SPY was ripping - sold half, stopped out for the other half. Good: Took partials into my scalp as planned. Improvement: Exit wasn’t planned on the second, if it doesn’t go my way just exit and move on no point cutting half and hoping. Took a little break from screens. CCL (Trade 1) - Long - 1min - Breakout (Anticipation) (Sub Setup: ABCD) Cruise lines running again - NCLH and RCL breaking out - looking for CCL to test highs (little bit weaker than the other ones but expecting this to follow. Definitely took the wrong one - NCLH and RCL both breaking, CCL struggling to make a new high. Started taking partials as it wasn’t going my way. Took another one at HOD. Left the rest to run and adjusted to break and of 20EMA. Improvement: Didn’t follow my plan here - had a tough time deciding which setup this was…Breakout? Extended ABCD? Breakout Pullback? Too late for a ABCD/breakout pullback, to early for a breakout…also terrible trade management - poor setup turned into a 2R winner and I didn’t take it… CCL (Trade 2) - Short - 1min and 5min - VWAP Break and Go (-1 No eisk hotkey entry on Scale in) VWAP acted as support all day, finally broke and tried to reclaim but couldn’t. Took it short on the breakdown with above previous VWAP high. Bounce of yesterdays high and tested VWAP again, failed so I added more. Bounced and took me out at my stop. Came back down VWAP and made a lower high - tried another short. Took partials too quickly didn’t want to get faked out, and again as it looked like holding, with final stop loss. Improvement: Could be getting better fills on these to tighten up risk. RCL - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown (-1 Adjusted Stop, -1 Didn’t use risk hotkey) Absolutely terrible. RCL and cruiselines sold off hard missed the whole move. Was in CCL and it started coming down saw RCL volume picking up as it broke LOD so I took it short and got bottom ticked, took too much size and stopped out at MA. Looked like it failed and came coming back down took it short again as a revenge trade - stopped out right above previous high - took too much size. Improvement: - Took too much size (didn’t use risk hotkey) - Adjusted Stop - Revenge trading Trade Review: One of those days….broke almost every rule in my rule book, which brought me to a much deserved max loss day. 1 step forward, few steps back. Stepping to the drawing board, taking tomorrow off trading as a rule after every max lass day. Review Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 6/8 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets (No adjusting) = 4/8 Know what I need to do, lay it out - but just cant follow through. Just started the report card, but so far its been pretty rough. Need to really focus on this in order to get the discipline down. Plan for Tomorrow and for the weekend: New Journaling Template - current template is very vague, seems like I just ramble with no structure. Exit Hotkeys - 1/4 Position at T1, 1/2 Position at T2, 1/4 position Reason to exit Create new process for finding stocks. Getting over crowded with others ideas. Need to be at screens, 5-5:30 doing research, find 5-10 names and then prepared for pre-market prep with the BBT crew to see others thoughts. Review, Review, Review
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Thanks Rob - I agree on the entrance, however, should have been adding into the trade rather then taking off first 2 partials. Overall pretty happy with it though!
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Day 55 - March 25, 2020 44 Tickets (Major Overtrading) 7 Symbols Green Day Watchlist: SPY (Trade #1) - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown Initial thought on SPY was ABCD, looking like it was working until it broke through VWAP and no sign of buying. Broke previous day close took it short after it failed to retest and hold. Target was pre-market level, Seemed a little extended from the top Good: Not holding bias, wanted to go long but setup didn’t present itself to I went short on the breakdown. OXY - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown (lvl 2 wall at 10.42) OXY forming descending triangle at 10.4 trying to break 10.4 wall on lvl 2, confirmed with oil as it was breaking down. Expectation is to take out the bottom and fall through. Dropped through 10.40 without any prints and held - took partial off wanted to see it work right away. Buyer came back and took it up to my physical stop (top ticked). Improvement: Thought I had good confirmation with oil and Lvl 2 but Need to do more work on reading tape. ROKU - Short - 1min - VWAP Bounce and Reject (sub setup: ABCD) Took ROKU short, both ROKU and market were coming up to VWAP, took it on confirmation of failure to hold, and made lower low multiple times. Took partial off as Spy ripped up but ROKU dropped, thinkign it might follow, kept the rest on as potential weakness relative to SPY, adjusted stop to just above previous VWAP pop - hold for this to trail down to LOD. Improvement: Terrible R/R on first partial - took it as I didn’t like price action. AAL (Trade #1) - Long - 1min - VWAP Break and Go Took it as SPY was breaking out. Added more as it pulled back into VWAP and held. Consolidated for a bit then started to make its way up, weak relative to other airlines (watching DAL). Took of partial into previous high in case it rejected. Had volume but failed to breakout, and seeling volume picking up sold another partial leaving rest to ride. Stop loss oversold and went short as I didn’t adjust it, covrred right away. Improvement: Seemed weak relative to sector - have to be careful as it kept rejection to break. Need to find a way to adjust stop rather than manually doing it. BA - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout Watching BA strengthen as SPY moved it. Looked like potential double top, with highwe lows being taken out on 1. Double top came and broke MA's instead of shorting I ended up going long on the breakout (FOMO) went again my own plan and paid for it. Improvement: Had a short idea, which would have worked out. FOMO'd hard and went long instead. Also adjusted stop as I didn’t like price action. DAL (Trade 1 and 2) - Short - 1min and 5min - Double Top SPY and DAL took a big rally and brought DAL up to daily level, yesterdays level held very tightly on DAL so I thought they would respect them today. Looked like it topped right at the daily level and came back down, failing to bounce back. Took a short thinking this was the double top. Stopped out. New high and then came back down, consolidated under the daily and couldn’t break back above - selling volume came in so I shorted as it broke consolidation and MA. Fake out and took me out again. Improvement: Careful chasing double tops on stocks that are moving 20-30% up - can always go higher. Could also be getting much better fills closer to the levels. MID MORNIG NOTE - my entries aren't great - need to fight for price. Leaving myself exposed with wide stop, small size and requiring a huge move in order to have a decent R/R. AAPL - Long - 1min - Breakout (Overtrading) SPY making highs and I just wanted to get in to join the action…not great R/R here as HOD is nearby would be taking profits into that level. SPY also coming up to potential rejection on daily. On this strengh it shuld be moving in my favor right away buts its not. Got stopped out. Improvement: Quite extended taking it long into HOD hoping it would rally. Chasing… SPY (Trade #2) - Short - 1min and 5min - Double Top SPY looked like double toped and selling volume accelerated, failed pop had no strength - short as we rejected off the MA with a doji. Worked out right away and took partials into previous levels which acted as support. Left final partial and took it off as it broke 20EMA on the 1, and made a new 5 min high. Good: Waited for nice confirmation here with volume coming in, and MA cross + reject. AAL (Trade #2) - Short - 1 min - VWAP Break and Go (-1 for not using risk hotkey on the scale in) Was waiting for airlines to turn, and AAL was weaker than DAL so I took it short as it broke VWAP, tested and failed to hold. Consolidated above VWAP and almost took me out. Dropped back down, on selling pressure and thought this would be it for AAL. Bounced off VWAP - rejected with bearish dojis on the 1min. Dropped below, and failed to break again so added on to my short. Ended up moving up from there and taking me out. SPY (Trade 3 and 4) - Short - 1mind and 5min- Double top and add on failed pop SPY starting to look weak into the close, pushing up but failing to make highs. Took it as we saw some selling volume pick up and broke the MA's. Stop was pretty tight just above consolidation. Just about took me out and didn’t like price action as candles made higher and higher lows on the 1. Took partial off. As soon as I did market went into a free fall with no moves up at all. Sold partials into MA and another partial into previous support, intention to add on failed pop. Didn’t give me a chance till close with a nice failed pop into VWAP for a quick scalp. Improvement: Honestly not the best setup here, could have easily went against me. Should have been shorting into the break of consolidation rather than coverting the first 2 timnes. No need to be covering my first position - what is that, why getting scared??? AAL (Trade #3) - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go Still had the thesis that airlines would selloff into close, perfect opportunity as SPY got absolutely hammered. Selling came in, and held just under VWAP, at previous support. Failed to hold VWAP and broke down on heavy volume - took it short and took partials all the way down as volume tapered off a bit, left final partial on for retest of MA. Good: Took advantage of opportunity and full market sell off, and stayed with my thesis after getting stopped out a few times on AAL. Todays Review: Only reason I'm green on the day due to a major drop in markets into the close - got lucky. Poor performance in many different areas. Chasing the action way too much. Creating a list before and barely even watched the cruise lines today - they have been very good to me, and completely ignored them as I was busy going from one symbol to the next. Analysis paralysis. Noted that my entries tend to be pretty poor, causing a wide stop loss therefore smaller size (using hotkey for $ calculated risk per trade). Need to fight for price. Need to find 3-4 symbols, plan the trade and then trade the plan. Rather then jump around randomly. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 11/12 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets = 8/12 Poor job on the report card. Overall just wasn't there today. Felt like a chicken with its head cut off.
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Day 54 - March 24, 2020 25 Tickets 5 Symbols Red Day Watchlist: SPY - Long - 1min - ABCD (too early, not even touching VWAP yet) SPY is strong this morning was looking for a ABCD pattern off the opening drive. Came back down and bounced off pre market resistance, now acting as support. Took it long with premarket level and VWAP as support. Came down took my stop out and held around VWAP before ripping higher for the rest of the day. (Thought I had during trade - will probably take me out and rip higher - due to poor entry) Improvement: Poor entry, need to be more patient with the ABCD pattern - think I need to hold off until VWAP as this would provide great support and can get better entry with more size for same risk. DAL (Trade #1) - Short - 1min and 5 min - Technical Breakout (Lvl 2 and VWAP confirmation) Was on secondary - and called out in chat. Saw it reject 2nd time, waiting for 25 bid to break. Failed to push through VWAP again and came down to 25 and broke bid. Buyer is stepping down seems like every time it gets there. Took it as I saw the bid break 25 wall, but looks like fake out once it held VWAP thinking it would squeeze and offer was getting lifted at 30, 40, 50… Improvement: Should be careful shorting into support. Had 200MA right there, and LOD as support as well. CCL (Trade #1) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Anticipating) Saw this coming up on buy vol, SPY trying to push higher as well, started consolidating around pre market high - took it as we were making a breakout, with stop just below previous consolidation. As this is Momentum trade I am working on taking profits quick as they tend to get away from me. Took 1/3 on pop, then panicked and sold a partial after bearish doji and decreasing buying vol into the breakout. Started to really get some volume behind this sold into target and let the rest ride for partials. Final partial as we came down and broke through both 9 and 20EMA. Good: Had the right idea, happy with letting partials ride till the end of the move Improvement: 2nd exit wasn’t planned - panicked and sold after a doji candle. Other exits I am happy with. CCL (Trade #2) - Long - 1 and 5min - VWAP Break and Go (Sector confirmation) CCL came down consolidated just under VWAP but held PMH and level of breakout. Watching RCL and NCLHA as they broke VWAP and pushing up, SPY strong as well. Took it long as it broke through VWAP, retested and held, thinking this could squeeze and retest HOD. Ended up getting stopped out at same level it held previously, and break of 200MA. Good: Followed my game plan, entry was there, R/R was there BA - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Ascending Breakout Anticipation) BA setting up as an ascending triangle looking for breakout. SPY pushing up with volume. Looking for BA to breakout here. Pretty choppy with big wicks, but feel like it had momentum to move. Ended upcoming up to the previous level but strong rejection seller must still be there (didn’t notice as I was looking at different play….Ended up stopping out below consolidation level and break and hold of MA on 5min. Improvement: Didn’t have an exact exit plan, which tends to happen with a lot of my momentum / breakout plays. Need to work on this. RCL - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go These cruiseline have been very active and have lots of room to run to the downside after a strong up move. Came down and held previous support, and VWAP - tested a few times but just couldn't break through. CCL already broke, and NCLH following with lots of volume coming in on selling side. Ended up taking it short as it broke consolidation. Was thinking to add if it broke down, and tried to retest VWAP but couldn’t make it back. Took partials into 1.25R (trying this out) and into level at 34. Bounced a bit, took another partial as I didn’t like the increase in buying vol. Got stopped out into MA's - top tick the dead cat bounce…. Good: Like this entry, VWAP confirmation and waiting for consolidation to break. Comfortable taking it here. Improvement: Should be taking this with more size, no need to exit on the final. Ended up going down to LOD plus some DAL (Trade #2)- Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown (Lvl 2 wall of bids) -1 for adjusting stop Was watching the Head and Shoulder formation and didnt act on it...ended up working perfectly. Ended up coming down to test support with big bidder at 25.6, took it short as soon as bid dropped. Expecting this to be a quick momentum play, idea is to take off size right away. Had an idea of waiting for support to hold, come back into MA'a and short there but didn’t want to miss the action. Realized this is not a high probability trade, and it should have worked right away - so took it off reducing loss to 1/2R. Improvement: Not respecting the support levels, I put them there for a reason need to pay attention to them - it held 2x before…. This is a perfect chat that shows how important levels are (hindsight = 20/20) : - 27.2 level rejected 5x through the day, and acted as a breakout level. - 25.6 acted as a breakout, as well as a support 2x through the day. Todays Review: Take away of the day is psychology webinar BBT held - lots of learning lessons. Have been working on my process lately and is slowly improving. Noticing it in the quality of trades I take RCL, CCL and even SPY which I had the right idea but execution just wasn't there. Today was a great improvement on letting winners ride, re-confirmed by Dr. Steenbarger - in these volatile conditions, breakouts tend to be much stronger. Will continue working on this. Daily Report Card 1. Only Take trades using risk calculated hotkey = 7/7 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets = 6/7
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Thanks Rob, great to see that you are enjoying it! Hopefully learning from my mistakes - as there is a lot of them! Definitely a work in progress, but I am noticing a difference in thought process more and more every day, although it is slow in coming together journaling is for sure helping.
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Day 53 - March 23, 2020 36 Tickets (overtrading) 7 Symbols Red Day Watchlist: SPY (Trade 1) - Long - 1min - ABCD / Breakout? (Pre-Market) SPY down over night, but up in premarket on news that FED will do "whatever it takes" to support the market - strongly received. Was looking to test out hotkeys (placing targets based on risk hotkey) and saw SPY breaking out looking like a potential ABCD patter - got in for a quick scalp. AMD (Trade 1) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop (No confirmation) SPY dropping and AMD broke green to red, with MA's as well as VWAP as resistance. Wanted to wait for this to come up and test VWAP for a VWAP Bounce play - ended up getting in too early - didn’t wait for the pop into VWAP which I should have done. Would have entered a little bit later but got stopped either way. Improvement: Stop loss wasn’t well placed, need to do a better job of pricing in a move above VWAP We were breaking through prevoius day close, and heading into pre market level - too much support which ended up holding. UBER - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Lvl 2 Wall) Was watching UBER thinking could be a potential double top at previous day close and HOD. Saw a wall of asks at 21 getting eaten away, making higher lows so took it long it broke through wall of ask. As soon as I got in, felt like it could have been a trap. Rejected of Previous day close (1c away from my target) and engulfing down - should have got out right away. Went to sell half as it wasn’t looking good with SPY falling - but hot key error and bought more (mistake) and covered it quickly. Leaving rest to ride. Previous day close + some. Took it off as it didn’t wans to go. Improvement: Cant be Chasing this, not happy with entry as it’s a little far off VWAP and approaching multiple resistance points. RCL - Short - VWAP Break and Go (too early - no confirmation) Was watching CCL on the break of VWAP but went straight through didn’t give me a great entry point on a retest. Ended up getting in on RCL as it broke and retested as I planned. Got in with a entry which slipped away from me, and a stop loss just above previous high, MA's and VWAP - top ticked and got stopped out. Good: Had the right idea, with CCL and RCL moving together. Entry was ok on the 1 retest, but the double (M) rejection would have been better. Improvement: Stop loss to tight, trend was down and I was expecting a pop off VWAP - need to give it a little more breathing space. CCL - Short - 1min- VWAP Break and Go Was watching CCL initially - but RCL provided better entry. As soon as I got stopped out saw CCL reject and follow RCL and NCLH pace - expected CCL to break VWAP and trend lower. Big battle at 11bid so I covered in case it would hold. Looked like bidder was taken out - 5min is also bearish. Then Buyer stepped right back. I was adjusting my stop loss to update shares - and ended up panicking and manually covered - top tick. Good: Had the right idea Improvement: Poor Trade Management. Stop adjusting stops. I was in the money and idea was perfect. Covered top tick for majority of position and ended up breaking even vs what should have been a nice winner. AMD (Trade 2) - Short - VWAP Break and Go SPY tanking took AMD on a drop and rejection off VWAP looking to continue down to Previous close and LOD as targets, stop above VWAP. Came up to VWAP close to my stop - and I Adjusted (terrible habit) which luckily got me 2 ticks away from stopping out and then moved in my direction. Took partial at previous day close, and another as it looked like it wanted to bounce and retest previous day close (no reason). Another partial as we moved into LOD and let the rest ride until reason to exit - picking up strength of double bottom, higher highs and higher lows. Good: Partials at decent levels, Improvement: Cant be adjusting stops - although I got lucky here this has proved to hurt me in long run - PICK A GOOD STOP BEFORE ENTERING. Also could have added at 11:20 when failed to bounce back into VWAP and broke consolidation. Just had a feeling of not getting into anything as it seems kid of choppy and SPY is still down but looking at VWAP retracement….then ended up FOMO'ing ROKU ROKU - Long - 1min and 5min - Technical Breakout (Chasing) ROKU has been quite strong today and I thought we could break HOD and rally. Ended up getting away from me and I got in on the top tick - same time trying to limit my risk so I put a stop below 1 min previous low and got stopped out quickly. Improvement - Not one of my profitable setups. Stop was wide as I got it right at the top WAIT FOR THIS TO COME DOWN, RESET AND THEN GO FOR THE BREAK - buy the 2nd break. SPY - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go + Add on Confirmation (Sizing - yes, VWAP indicator) SPY weak and selling off. Tried to hold VWAP and rejected on decreasing buying vol. Waited for second rejection off VWAP and got in on confirmation. Ended up reclaiming VWAP briefly and stopping me out. Move came down, and failed the bounce rejecting off VWAP and MA - took another short with same stop. Partial into previous low in case we held, and another into T1, adjusted stop and got taken out top tick (2nd time this happened today) Good: Stayed with my Idea and played it on confirmation Improvement: Stop adjusting stops - doing this on my winners and my losers - put the stop in and let it be…… AMD - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go (Anticipation - FOMO didn’t wait for confirmation) - SPY was breaking consolidation expecting this one to follow - wanted to wait for a defined risk but got FOMO as selling volume came in thinking this would break without me. Terrible Risk here though as I got my entry on the breakdown far from defined risk level. Will need a big move in order to cover risk. Instead of letting the poor entry play itself out or maybe covering while I'm in green I doubled down on this FOMO as I wanted to get my P/L into the green. Improvement: Not only did I FOMO - but I also doubled down on this, plus adjusted my stop. This is a trade of trades of what not to do. Over trading at this point - told myself after AMD trade that I would be done for the day…broke my monthly goal of adjusting stop on a loss (couple times today), and just making poor decision. Stepped away until….. SPY - Short - 1min - Technical Breakout (Overtrading) Noticed that I just wanted to get in on action and get the market back for my braking my rules…not great confirmation but selling volume coming in and hit the bids at 221 - short 1/2 size looking for this to break down descending triangle. Broke down and covered into previous low level letting the rest to ride. Got stopped out as it made a new 5m high. BA - Long, 1 min - Technical Breakout (Overtrading) Same thing as previous trade - just want to make some P/L back. SPY was squeezing into the close and saw BA break down trend - was thinking of getting in (104.5) then started taking off and I got a terrible fill - pressed the 1/2R hotkey, but top ticked on the spike. Looking for this to squeeze into the close. Was choppy and couldn’t break 107 level after briefly spiking over. Sold partial and the rest into close. Improvement: This is not in my setups. Need to listen to myself, when Its time to step away its time to step away for the day. Apart from bringing P/L down, overtrading is a terrible habit that I just can't seem to shake lately. Todays Review: Not happy with my ability to follow my plan. Making way to many bad decision which I know I shouldn't be. Theme of today - adjusting stops….. On good trade : Taking profits - then adjusting my stop losses and getting taken out. Twice this happened - CCL and SPY which both would have been nice trades if I kept my original plan. Bad trade: Putting my stop to tight, realizing its too tight and moving it - causing too much unnecessary slippage and poor habits. Notice my emotion edge comes in toward end of day if I'm down - trying to get back into the green, taking poor setups. Daily Report Card: 1. Only take trades using risk calculated hotkeys (1/2R for scaling in, 1R for regular) = 11/11 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets. 5/11
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Ye I noticed I was doing the same, but the slide to adjust stops/targets in the chart area was too easy and I find myself sliding it and selling to early, or sliding it out in "hoping" it comes back into the green, which is one of the worst things to do in my opinion. Haven't been able to attend due to work, however, this has changed for the time being - will definitely be there for the next couple of weeks. Thanks for letting me know!!
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Weekend Review (Mar 22, 2020) Reviewing my stats, in order to figure out that's working and what's not. Below are some common themes I found within my biggest winners and losers, as well as some takeaways and plans to fix these problems. Biggest Losers: Inconsistent Position Sizing Adjusted Stops Anticipating (getting in too early with no confirmation) Plan to fix these: Only take trades using risk calculated hotkeys (1/2 for scaling in, 1R for regular) - this will enforce me to set a stop before placing trades. Taking off the ability to move stops in charts by dragging - put these in not too long ago, and the convenience plus lack of discipline allows me to adjust too easily. Biggest Winners: Entry Confirmation (level 2, candlesticks, sector) Letting winners ride Scaling In and Out Also looked at biggest winners, and how I could have improved on these Sold too early (before target) No Reason to Exit Plan to Fix these: Research my winners and look into different exit strategies Exit 1/4 at 1 - 1.5R, exit 1/2 at target, exit 1/4 on Reason to Exit (MA, VWAP, Trend Break...) Exit 1/2 at 1.5R, exit 1/2 at target Overview Did this for top 12 trades (wasn't planned, just ended up coming out to 12). Totally re-iterated what I thought, but now I have definitive stats to back this rather than "I think I'm doing this wrong". Now that I have identified exact things I need to change, I will be creating and implementing a "Daily Report Card" to work on these specific goals, and rate my effort and success at achieving them on a daily basis. Goals for the next month: 1. Only take trades using risk calculated hotkeys (1/2R for scaling in, 1R for regular) 2. Placing trades with defined risk, and profit targets. Physical stop loss 1/4 at 1.25R, 1/2 at target, 1/4 at Reason to Exit (For now - will update once statistical research is done. Would love to hear some feedback or thoughts on your process, review, experiences or any other information.
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Day 52 - Mar 20, 2020 43 Tickets (major overtrading) 6 Symbols Loss Watchlist: UBER (Trade #1) - Long- 1min - ABCD UBER coming off strong day and upgraded this morning. Strong off open as expected - started to come back down into VWAP - long as it came down and formed ABCD pattern, a little early but didn’t want to miss the move in case it spiked up like yesterday. Stopped out on break and hold of VWAP/ MA. Improvement: Didn't use my risk hotkeys = no defined risk, no defined target in mind. CCL - Short - VWAP Bounce and Reject (Anticipation) Watching CCL as it bounces up toward VWAP anticipating the rejection and trend downwards. Sector - RCL and NCLH approach previous day close - should have waited to see how they act. Although both close to low of day, and acting weak. Covered partial into previous level, then took some more off as we moved up and broke through 1min consolidation. Covered final as we broke VWAP, held and bounced higher. Good: Taking partials at planned levels. Happy with the entry Improvement: Adjusted my stop UBER (Trade #2) - Long - 1 and 5min - Reversal Saw UBER come down to the 22 level just like I planned in pre-market. Watched it break through 22 and quickly come back up closing right at that level. Took it long on a reversal off support into VWAP, sold partial as we spiked into resistance of some MA's (too early) and the rest into Profit target at VWAP. Good: Had the right idea, playing pre market levels. Improvement: Need to follow my risk size hotkey - they are there for a reason. Took inconsistent position (too small) ZM (Trade #1) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout Poor play here, saw ZM making ATH and wanted to play momentum - ended up buying the top with too much size. SPY was bouncing toward VWAP - not a good entry here. Can tell it was losing strength looking back at it - double red candle on 1. dying volume on 5, , lower high on 1 . Improvement: Use my risk control hotkeys - they are there for a reason ***Forced Break - 10min*** Noticed I wasn't trading my setups, not using risk controls and being emotional so I stepped away from platform, recorded my executions and took a breather. ZM (Trade #2) - Long - 1min and 5min - ABCD ZM looked like it carved out the C in ABCD pattern. Took it long thinking we would bounce and continue higher. SPY not going my way so didn’t have full conviction - took 1/2 size with idea to add on confirmation. Went against me, into VWAP which would have been a much better place to add. Ended up adjusting my stop loss in order not to get stopped out….sold all as it broke the uptrend. Improvement: Need to have more patience on the ABCD Entry, getting in to early and adjusting stops in order not to get stopped out. RCL - Long - 1min - Break and Go (sector play) CCL (called out in chat) and NCLH both broke through VWAP and ripping up. Saw RCL was just hovering around VWAP, took it as a long on VWAP Break and Go up to HOD. Tight risk right under consolidation. Adjusted risk a little higher as NCLH and CCL rejected and started retracing. Took partials on spike in resistance at 23.7. Sold the next partial too early should have waited and taken it at my profit target at HOD with leaving final partial to run. Good: Had the right idea, nice sector play watching others move and this one to follow. Improvement: Need to let my winners ride, took 2nd partial way to quick - should have been a nice runner. UBER (Trade #3) - Long - 1min - VWAP Break and Go (Scale in on confirmation) UBER looked like double/triple bottom off that 22 level and came back up above VWAP on increasing volume. Took 1/2 size long above VWAP for a break and go into HOD level. SPY coming up to HOD as well - thinking we can break. Scaled in as we dropped back to VWAP and held. Took partials too quick again, for 1/4, then another at profit target, another on spike into HOD and left the rest ride until it broke trend. Good: Nice scale in on confirmation of hold. Improvement: Need to let winners ride, rather than taking off to early. Or take a smaller - 1/4 at 1-1.5R, 1/2 at target and leave the rest to ride. Could have added more size after I Sold first partial and had entry on the breakout pullback. AMD - Short - 1min - Breakdown / VWAP Break and Go (Anticipating) SPY broke Red to Green, tanking on volume - think this will break through VWAP and go. This was terrible short, coming into VWAP and daily level - should have realized this and skipped this trade. This is a clear uptrend, bouncing off VWAP. Improvement: Didn’t use risk hotkey, held a bias on this and shorted due to SPY falling, no reason to entry - was anticipating with hope it would break. UBER (Trade #4) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Anticipating - Ascending Triangle Breakout) Wasn't thinking clearly here - 2nd bad play in a row. Thought process was it was holding higher lows after breaking down through VWAP and holding the daily level at 22, completley missed the bear pennant forming. Went against the trend of MA's and VWAP and was instantly wrong. Instead of admitting I was wrong and taking the loss, I adjusted my stop and took a bigger loss than necessary. Improvement - don’t adjust stops, if you are wrong you are wrong get out and move on. Not thinking clearly, many signs to stay out. Overtrading looking to make something out of nothing. UBER (Trade #5) - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown Got stopped out of UBER on my long, and thought this was a short as it broke through the daily level and instead of holding and pushing higher it came back and broke again - change of character and selling volume coming in. Got in the drop with plan to add on confirmation - added on the failed pop. Went my way and took profits too early again. Ended up riding out the failed pop and noticed it kept getting rejected by MA and could close above, another big break. Goal was to ride it out until reason to exit. Rejected off MA once again, and shorted as we approached a wall of bidders at 21.1 broke and covered into major level at 20.75 and rest to ride. Manual stop - after spiked up hard and came back down - didn’t like it so got out. Good: Converging signals - 22 level couldn’t hold, selling volume coming in, rejecting MA, lower lows and lower highs. Improvement: Need to have more conviction in my winners, rather than taking them off to early - really killing my profitability. UBER (Trade #6) - Long - 1min and 5min - Double Bottom (Reversal) Level at 20.75 held and made a double bottom. Had a good catalyst and SPY pushing red to green - idea was to buy the reversal and take profits into VWAP. Ended up getting in a little late but still had room to run. Set a mental stop, broke through on 1 min and bounced right back - thought market was testing sellers and stopping out longs before ripping higher. Didn’t have much strength thought. Stopped out on physical stop right at that level from previous drop. Improvement: Clear overtrading, long, short, long short on UBER….not in the right mindset, 5min was bearish, rejection of multiple MA's and top heavy wicks - should not be entering here. CRWD - Short - 1min and 5min - Failed Pop (Double Top) Took the afternoon off as I noticed I was over trading with way to many tickets. Took a look at end of day to see where markets were, SPY turning down, major weakness. CRWD was making lower highs thinking we will reject and move to 47.6 for 3R. Good entry, but trade management was brutal - covered too much accidently so then ended up shorting double size as SPY was dumping, and I was trying to make money back and close the day in the green. Big buyer at 93, 92, 91, 90 huge wall just wont disappear - bullish signal. Ended up getting stopped out at previous level, and adjusting partial hoping it would come back down. Good: Right Idea at first, should have taken profits for half, and got stopped out on half for a green trade. Improvement: Ended up overtrading as I was watching P/L, took too much size and then adjusted stop wider hoping we would come back Todays Review: Major overtrading, long, short, long short - losing track of the bigger picture and just chasing action. NEED TO FOLLOW RISK RULES - taking winner on smaller positions, losers on larger positions - this is brutal. Noticed I was on edge so I stepped away - will add this to my rules. What I did well : Stepped away from trading and took a 10 min break to gather thoughts, and see what I was doing wrong (very happy with this decision) What I did poorly: Position sizing, not taking my hotkey which auto calculates shares based on risk. This was a major flaw I had before the hotkey - taking big losses on trades that aren't A+ setups. Need to do: Going back to the drawing board, full review and update of my playbook. Incorporating 1 goal for the week. Next weeks goal = every single trade taken is Risk Hotkey.
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Day 51 - Mar 19, 2020 25 Tickets (overtrading) 4 Symbols Break Even Watchlist: No watchlist - slept in and got to screens at 6:30 UBER - Long- 1min - Momentum Breakout (ABCD Setup) $1risk UBER squeezed off the open, heard it called out in chatroom. Missed the ORB which isn't really my play. Took it on the Momentum breakout out of the ABCD. Stop just below previous low. Not a great setup here as I chased the entry but had lots of momentum. Adjusted stops every time it made a higher low as I didn’t like my entry. Took half off into 19.25 which I saw on daily, and finally at round number Good: Trailing stops along the way, taking partials at levels. Improvement: Wasn’t happy wintry, could have had a more defined risk here. RCL (Trade #1) - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go Cruise lines weak again, NCLH and CCL were above VWAP looking to break, took RCL as it was already under, and had a defined risk with previous day close and VWAP as stop. Took profits early as SPY was popping and NCLH / CCL were both holding VWAP - not a good sign. Covered another partial as we got to previous bounce leve. Left the rest for original stop breat of VWAP and red to green. Improvement: Too much adjusting stops and targets - need to get rid of this. RCL (Trade #2) - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go (Anticipation) Shorted RCL as it approached VWAP and previous day close, strong support level so should have realized I need confirmation on this. Took it too early and got stopped out right above previous high - stop loss got top tick. Good: Right Idea Improvement: Poor execution, could have played out much different if I waited for another pop and took it with much tighter stop, or could have waited for breakdown confirmation close below VWAP. NCLH - Short - 1min - Failed Pop NCLH took it at top of channel expecting it to reject and retest VWAP just like RCL. Spy also breaking down through VWAP should see some movement here. Improvement: This is not in my game plan - shorting top of the channel? That’s a perfect setup for a breakout like it did before…..also above VWAP and shorting into MA - very poorly played. Should not be taking this trade. AMD (Trade #1) - Long - 1min - Technical Breakout (Momentum) AMY and SPY pushing and looking to break HOD. Took AMD half size as it broke out on rising volume, for a momentum play looking to add more on any pullbacks. Pulled back but didn’t have the confidence to add and SPY rejected, looking weak. Made its way up to previous high holding above MA - sold partial in case we reject again. Ended up holding and ran into a big bid at 41.5 - short into it thinking we could break and push to 41.9 target, added for full size - sold partial on momentum, breakout and more as we came up to re-test. Left partial ride and got stopped out at MA. Good: Had the right call on momentum breakout Improvement: Need to have a better plan for momentum, should be taking profits right away, leaving 1/4 - 1/2 position to ride. AMD (Trade #2) - Short - 1min + 5min - Failed Pop Got stopped out on my final partial, and saw the bearish engulfing on the 5min thinking we could see a retracement into MA and potentially VWAP with stop just above previous high and MA's acting as resistance. Took partial at previous low level and another partial at MA. Left a final one to run and got took it off around same spot as my 2nd partial. Good: This was a good entry with defined risk, confirmation with MA as well as rising selling volume. Improvement: Need to be using my risk sizing hotkey - could have turned out to be a nice winner if I sized properly. AMD (Trade #3) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop (Scalp into the close) Overtrading at this point, but watched SPY and AMD sell off into the close - was pretty choked I covered my final partial position right before the drop so wanted to take a little more out of the market. Droped and held below VWAP so I shorted for a quick scalp on the pop. Sold off into previous level and into close. Improvement: Only reason I played this was to try and get P/L to breakeven - this is overtrading, in the long run will not benefit my account. Todays Review Coronavirus quarantine = overtrading. Not used to working from home, watch markets here and there and getting FOMO cases. Not happy with my discipline and ability to control. Thinking of turning screens off. Starting to see progress in ability to recognize why I am making an entry/exit and if it matches my criteria (which is vague right now) - but it is only happening around 50% of the time, other time I have FOMO, chasing, position sizing problems, over trading..... What I did well: Noticed a couple of A+ setups What I did poorly: Position sizing Need to do: Automation? or look at different journal entries. Have 1.5 weeks of SIM left - need to get this process much smoother in order to make more time and learn strategies and tools. Really want to dive deep into LVL 2 - would love to hear any suggestion on what has helped them.
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Day 50 - Mar 18, 2020 31 Tickets 4 Symbols Green Day Watchlist: BA – Short – 1min – VWAP Bounce and Reject BA pre market dropped to 99 and bounced. Big push up got rejected off premarket level high of 105.75 and right back down - engulfing on the 1. Trying to push up to VWAP but getting stuffed. Broker through the 99 level and bounced off, bullish signal. Instead I went short thinking it would bounce, then fall through as we had VWAP and MA on the resistance above. Stopped out at MA above VWAP (Top Tick) Anticipating too much on this one, and too choppy for a clean play. Improvement: Too early, need to wait for confirmation - especially this early, and with this much volatility. RCL (Trade #1) –Short - 1min – Breakdown RCL looking weak as overall sector is hurting. Bounce and held 24.65 with a big bid on lvl2. Took a short position as soon as it broke down, stop of previous high. Went in my favor, but ended up taking of 1/3 too early. Took partial at my profit target and lt the rest ride, Bounced up and rejected MA - adjusted stop to break of previous high in anticipation of breakout. Poor trade management here - trading P/L and ended up getting out at breakeven. Good: Like the entry point, although could have gotten a better fill right at MA this was nice and defined risk. Improvement: Don’t trade P/L - trade the plan, and the price action. Taking profits off to early. RCL (Trade #2)- Short - 1min - VWAP Bounce and Reject (Failed Pop add) Got stopped out into VWAP (poor trade management) and watched it reject VWAP - sign for short entry. Came down and broke minor trend - was looking to short at earlier, but hotkey error so I got a rough fill. Took a bounce and retested MA's but got rejected and made lower high - shorted as it broke down from failed pop. Took 1st partial WAY too soon - psychologically happy to be back in the green after being down - poor trade and emotional management. Took 1/3 off at my target and let the rest ride until felt like over extended and at 3R. Good: Took partials at my target and let the winner ride. Improvement: poor trade and emotional management. RCL (Trade #3) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop Sector was really week, continuing to drop. Took RCL on a failed pop after covering on the drop. Re-asses and was still weak not much buying power, reconfirmed short bias with a much more defined risk. Took 1/3 off at previous level incase of a bounce, 1/3 off at profit target round level at 22, and let the rest ride until I broke consolidation and new high on 5. Good: Good job exiting previous trade, re-asses and confirming which a much better defined risk. Good work with partials, although I could have taken that cover at 21 for 7R. AMD - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go AMD Breaking down with SPY - making lower lows and lower highs. Wanted to see it reject VWAP but it was getting stuffed by the MA so I went short as we rejected previous day support - little anticipation and FOMO getting in too early. Ended up getting stopped out as it did the usual VWAP re-test. AMD - Short - 1min - VWAP Break and Go (Scalp) After getting stopped out I waited for confirmation or VWAP rejection - and shorted as it kept rejection 41.1 and closed under VWAP with tight stop just above previous high wick. Took partial off at pervious level thinking we might hold. Partial panic cover as it bounced. And left final 1/3 to same level test but didn’t like that it held so many times so I took off the rest (was looking to keep a partial to ride, but double clicked hotkey) Improvement: Hotkey error on entry as well as exit - poor execution. NCLH (Trade #1) - Short - 1min - Technical Breakdown Cruise lines are weak, down 20-30%. Was watching CCL and RCL and both broke through lows, NCLH was just setting up to, had a big bid at 7.65. Shorted into the break, buyer stepped down to 7.5. Ended up going my way and took 1/3 off into 1.5R. Was doing to let it right, but CCL and RCL looked like they were double bottoming so I took another 1/3 off. Got halted, opened up and pushed to 7.7 right at me entry. Came down, then right back up - place a limit order toward low of the candle stick and covered as the candle closed - rule of covering into the halt and re-asses is a good idea. Good: Taking partials at decent levels. Covering as it opened from the halt - although I would have gotten a better fill, I like this risk management rule. Improvement: Should have realized SPY levels for the circuit breaker. NCLH (Trade #2) - Short - 1min - Failed Pop Came up and rejected MA as well as previous consolidation level. Made a lower high so I went short thinking we would continue into the LOD on the overall weakness. Thought we would rejected and go right as it broke, didn’t like how it kept holding so I covered 1/3 0 ended up coming down close to previous low and taking off - covered on stop low into break of previous high. Todays Review Better job letting my winners ride today, however, I did feel like I was over trading. 31 tickets is quite a bit. AMD and BA trades were avoidable - BA was way to choppy no need to be in there. Overall happy with the day, but need to work on trade/emotional management. What I did well: Entries were better, so were partials and letting winners ride - this should pay off in trending markets. What I did poorly: Emotional management, was watching PnL and trading around that. Need to do: Find a more effective way to go through my trades - not leaving time for anything else. Put a full weekend into redoing my game plan. Been saying this far too long, just need to do it.